Behavior and the Transmission of COVID-19
AbstractA simple model of COVID-19 that incorporates feedback from disease prevalence to disease transmission through an endogenous response of human behavior does a remarkable job fitting the main features of the data on the growth rates of daily deaths observed across a large number of countries and states in the United States in 2020. This finding, however, suggests a new empirical puzzle: very large wedges that shift disease transmission rates holding disease prevalence fixed are required both across regions and within a region over time for the model to match the data on deaths from COVID-19 as an equilibrium outcome exactly.
CitationAtkeson, Andrew G., Karen Kopecky, and Tao Zha. 2021. "Behavior and the Transmission of COVID-19." AEA Papers and Proceedings, 111: 356-60. DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20211064
- I12 Health Behavior