Anticipatory Migration Responses to Rural Climate Shocks
AEA Papers and Proceedings
vol. 113,
May 2023
(pp. 367-71)
Abstract
Despite increased incidence and severity of climate shocks associated with climate change, observed levels of adaptation remain low. To assess if individuals adapt to the heat-induced crop losses of neighboring households in rural, agriculturally reliant communities, we integrate panel socioeconomic and demographic data from rural Mexico with high temporal and spatial resolution weather data. We find evidence of (ex ante) domestic migration that is plausibly an anticipatory response to the perception of increased risks of future heat-induced crop losses. This study highlights the salience of anticipatory adaptation and the relevance of learning from others in the context of climate risk.Citation
Quiñones, Esteban J., Jenna Nobles, Fernando Riosmena, and Raphael Nawrotzki. 2023. "Anticipatory Migration Responses to Rural Climate Shocks." AEA Papers and Proceedings, 113: 367-71. DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20231127Additional Materials
JEL Classification
- D12 Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
- O12 Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
- O13 Economic Development: Agriculture; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Other Primary Products
- O18 Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
- Q12 Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets
- Q15 Land Ownership and Tenure; Land Reform; Land Use; Irrigation; Agriculture and Environment
- Q54 Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming