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Networks, Connections, and Firms

Paper Session

Saturday, Jan. 4, 2020 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM (PDT)

Manchester Grand Hyatt, Harbor A
Hosted By: American Finance Association
  • Chair: Mark Seasholes, Arizona State University

The Network of Firms Implied by the News

Hannan Zheng
,
Boston University
Gustavo Schwenkler
,
Boston University

Abstract

We show that the news is a rich source of data on distressed firm links that drive firm-level and aggregate risks. The news tends to report about links in which a less popular firm is distressed and may contaminate a more popular firm. This constitutes a contagion channel that yields predictable returns and downgrades. Shocks to the degree of news-implied firm connectivity predict increases in aggregate volatilities, credit spreads, and default rates, and declines in output. To obtain our results, we propose a machine learning methodology that takes text data as input and outputs a data-implied firm network.

Corporate Political Connections and Favorable Environmental Regulation

Amanda Heitz
,
Tulane University
Youan Wang
,
University of Hong Kong
Zigan Wang
,
University of Hong Kong

Abstract

We examine whether the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) uniformly enforces the Clean Air Act for politically connected and unconnected firms using a close election setting from 1980-2010. The regression discontinuity design framework allows us to causally compare the outcomes of firms connected to politicians who just won a close election to those connected to politicians who just lost a close election. Following the literature, we consider a firm to be politically connected if a firm’s political action committee (PAC) donates to a politician. While the EPA has considerable discretion in launching investigations and enforcement actions pertaining to the Clean Air Act, we find no difference in investigations between firms with and without political connections. However, politically connected firms are less likely to be subject to EPA enforcement actions, and conditional on enforcement, they receive smaller penalties, suggesting that regulation is not uniformly enforced for politically connected firms. These results are more pronounced for firms connected to politicians capable of influencing regulatory bureaucrats, such as incumbents, members of the majority party, party leaders, and politicians with high seniority. We also find similar results for politicians serving on committees closely related to the EPA through oversight, funding, or committee responsibilities. Previous theory models of regulation show that politicians are generally assumed to maximize their probability of re-election by catering to their constituencies and optimizing political contributions. In line with this literature, we examine whether firms that are most likely to help politicians maintain office experience more favorable EPA regulation. We find that this is true for firms that are local to the politician, located in important state industries, and are large campaign contributors. In subsequent analysis, we show that our results are robust to the cleaner special election setting and that plants with politically connected parent firms do not emit more toxic gasses than those with parent firms lacking connections. Taken together, our results show that campaign contributions can indirectly benefit firms by way of reduced environmental regulatory enforcement and fines.

Political Connections and Firm Value: Evidence from Close Gubernatorial Elections

Quoc-Anh Do
,
Sciences Po
Bang Nguyen
,
University of Cambridge

Abstract

The external networks of directors significantly impact firm value and decisions. Surrounding close gubernatorial elections, local firms with directors connected to winners increase value by 4.1% over firms connected to losers. Director network’s value increases with network strength and activities, and is not due to network homophily. Connected firms are more likely to receive state subsidies, loans, and tax credits. They obtain better access to bank loans, borrow more, pay lower interest, invest and employ more, and enjoy better long-term performance. Network benefits are concentrated on connected firms, possibly through quid pro quo deals, and unlikely spread to industry competitors.
Discussant(s)
Anna Scherbina
,
Brandeis University
Cesare Fracassi
,
University of Texas-Austin
Ilona Babenko
,
Arizona State University
JEL Classifications
  • G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance