AEAweb: AEA 2010 Annual Meeting Papers


January 3, 2010

Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Atrium Ballroom A
AEA
Session: What's Happening to Unemployment in the Current Recession? (E32) (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: Christopher Pissarides (London School of Economics)
Robert Shimer, University of Chicago
Steven J. Davis, University of Chicago
Lawrence Katz, Harvard University
Christopher Pissarides, London School of Economics
Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A701
AEA
Session: Credit Constraints, House Prices and Agglomeration (E5)
Presiding: John Duca (Federal Reserve Bank-Dallas)
The Impact of Hurricanes on Housing Prices: Evidence from US Coastal Cities
Anthony Murphy (Hertford College, Oxford University)
Eric Strobl (Ecole Polytechnique)
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House Prices and Credit Constraints: Making Sense of the US Experience
John V. Duca (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and Southern Methodist University)
John Muellbauer (Nuffield College, University of Oxford )
Anthony Murphy (Hertford College, University of Oxford )
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Macroeconomic Implications of Agglomeration
Morris A. Davis (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
Jonas Fisher (Federal Reserve Bank-Chicago)
Toni Whited (University of Rochester )
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Discussants:
Morris A. Davis (University of Wisconsin-Madison School of Business)
Clifford R. Kern (Binghampton University)
Stuart S. Rosenthal (Syracuse University)
Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A705
AEA
Session: Export Dynamics (F1)
Presiding: Emanuel Ornelas (London School of Economics)
An Empirical Model of Search and Learning in Export Markets
James Tybout (Pennsylvania State University)
Jonathan Eaton (New York University)
Marcela Eslava (Universidad de los Andes)
Maurice Kugler (Harvard University)
C. J. Krizan (U.S. Bureau of the Census)
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Export Entrepreneurs: Evidence from Peru
Caroline Freund (World Bank)
Marta Pierola (World Bank)
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Firm Selection, Growth and Learning
Costas Arkolakis (Yale University)
Theodore Papageorgiou (Pennsylvania State University)
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Sequential Exporting
Emanuel Ornelas (London School of Economics)
Facundo Albornoz (University of Birmingham)
Hector F. Calvo-Pardo (University of Southampton)
Gregory Corcos (Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration)
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Discussants:
Beata Javorcik (University of Oxford)
Nina Pavnick (Dartmouth College)
Natalia Ramondo (University of Texas-Austin)
Kalina Manova (Stanford University)
Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A704
AEA
Session: Financial Institutions 1 (G2)
Presiding: Rick Harris (Wake Forest University)
Liar's Loans? Effects of Origination Channel and Information Falsification on Mortgage Delinquency
Wei Jiang (Columbia University)
Ashlyn Nelson (Stanford University)
Edward Vytlacil (Yale University)
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On the Real Effects of Bank Bailouts: Micro-Evidence from Japan
Mariassunta Giannetti (Stockholm School of Economics)
Andrei Simonov (Michigan State University)
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Being a Foreigner Among Domestic Banks; Asset or Liability?
Stijn Claessens (International Monetary Fund)
Neeltje van Horen (Dutch Central Bank)
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A Market-Based Measure of Credit Quality and Banks' Performance During the Subprime Crisis
Martin Knaup (Tilburg University)
Wolf B. Wagner (Tilburg University)
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CoVaR
Tobias Adrian (Federal Reserve Bank-New York)
Markus Brunnermeier (Princeton University)
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Does Payday Lending Impact Neighborhood Crime Rates?
Heather Michelle Luea (Tennessee State University)
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Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A703
AEA
Session: Topics in Knowledge Spillovers (O3)
Presiding: Prithwiraj Choudhury (Harvard Business School)
Looking Inside a Multinational R&D Center in an Emerging Market: Cross-border Employee Mobility, Social Networks and Knowledge Creation
Prithwiraj Choudhury (Harvard Business School)
From Beijing to Bentonville: Do Multinational Retailers Link Markets?
Keith Head (University of British Columbia)
Deborah Swenson (University of California-Davis)
Ran Jing (University of International Business and Economics and University of British Columbia)
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Knowledge Spillovers and Firm Size Heterogeneity
Jie Cai (University of New South Wales and University of British Columbia)
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Borders and Distance in Knowledge Spillovers: Dying over Time or Dying with Age?
Yao Li (University of Western Ontario)
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Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A702
AEA
Session: K-12 Economic and Financial Literacy Education (00)
Presiding: Richard MacDonald (St. Cloud State University)
Human Capital in the Classroom: Teacher Comprehension and Student Achievement
Roger B. Butters (University of Nebraska-Lincoln)
Tammie Fischer (University of Nebraska-Lincoln)
Evaluation of Financial Fitness for Life Program and Future Outlook in the Mississippi Delta
Rebecca Campbell Smith (Mississippi State University)
Erin Sharp (Mississippi State University)
Joshua D. Pitts (Mississippi State University)
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Does AP Improve Student Achievement in Economics?
John Swinton (Georgia College & State University)
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An Evaluation of EnterpriseMath: Impact of Economics and Financial Literacy on Math Achievement and Attitudes
Jennifer Pitzer (University of Cincinnati)
George Vredeveld (University of Cincinnati)
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Discussants:
Paul W. Grimes (Mississippi State University)
James O'Neill (University of Delaware)
William Bosshardt (Florida Atlantic University)
Matthew Nicklay (St. Cloud State University)
Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International C
AEA
Session: Work, Fertility, and Family Formation (00)
Presiding: H. Peters (Cornell University)
Low-Skilled Immigration and Work-Fertility Tradeoffs Among High-Skilled U.S. Natives
Delia Furtado (University of Connecticut)
Heinrich Hock (Florida State University)
Alternative Paths to Parenthood: ART Versus Adoption
Gulcin Gumus (Florida International University)
Jungmin Lee (Florida International University)
The Effect of Slavery on Family Formation
Melinda Miller (United States Naval Academy)
Booms, Busts, and Divorce
Melinda Morrill (North Carolina State University)
Judith K. Hellerstein (University of Maryland)
Discussants:
Una Osill (Purdue University-Indianapolis)
Lisa Gennetian (Brookings Institution)
Howard Bodenhorn (Clemson University)
Betsey Stevenson (University of Pennsylvania)
Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International B
AEA
Session: The Maturity Structure of Sovereign Debt (F3)
Presiding: Dirk Niepelt (Gerzensee, Bern and IIES, Stockholm)
Default and the Maturity Structure in Sovereign Bonds
Cristina Arellano (University of Minnesota & Federal Reserve Board-Minnesota)
Ananth Ramanarayanan (Federal Reserve Bank-Dallas)
Maturity, Indebtedness, and Default Risk
Satyajit Chatterjee (Federal Reserve Bank-Philadelphia)
Burcu Eyigungor (Koc University)
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Debt dilution, overborrowing, and sovereign default risk
Juan Carlos Hatchondo (Federal Reserve Bank-Richmond)
Leonardo Martinez (Federal Reserve Bank-Richmond)
Cesar Sosa-Padilla (University of Maryland)
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Debt-Maturity without Commitment
Dirk Niepelt (Gerzensee, Bern and IIES, Stockholm)
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Discussants:
Satyajit Chatterjee (Federal Reserve Bank-Philadelphia)
Ananth Ramanarayanan (Federal Reserve Bank-Dallas)
Dirk Niepelt (Gerzensee, Bern & IIES, Stockholm)
Leonardo Martinez (Federal Reserve Bank-Richmond)
Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M304
AEA
Session: Perspectives on Social Security, Saving, and Retirement (H5)
Presiding: Dayanand Manoli (University of California-Los Angeles)
The Link between Pensions and Retirement Behavior: Lessons from California Teachers
Kristine Brown (University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign)
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Pension Benefits & Retirement Decisions: Income vs. Price Elasticities
Dayanand Manoli (University of California-Los Angeles)
Kathleen Mullen (RAND Corporation)
Mathis Wagner (University of Chicago)
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The Perception of Social Security Incentives for Labor Supply and Retirement: The Median Voter Knows More Than You'd Think
Jeffrey B. Liebman (Harvard University)
Erzo F. P. Luttmer (Harvard University)
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Fatalism, Locus of Control, and Retirement Saving
Miles Kimball (University of Michigan)
Tyler Shumway (University of Michigan)
Children and Household Wealth
John Karl Scholz (University of Wisconsin)
Ananth Seshadri (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
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Discussants:
Courtney Coile (Wellesley College)
Eric French (Federal Reserve Bank-Chicago)
Giovanni Mastrobuoni (Collegio Carlo Alberto)
Kathleen Mullen (RAND)
Jeff Brown (University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign)
Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M303
AEA
Session: Labor Mobility (J6)
Presiding: Andrey Launov (University of Mainz)
Estimating Incentive and Welfare Effects of Non-Stationary Unemployment Benefits
Andrey Launov (University of Mainz)
Irene Schumm (University of Wuerzburg)
Klaus Waelde (University of Mainz)
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Internal Migration and Income Inequality in China: Evidence from Village Panel Data
Wei Ha (UNICEF-ESARO)
Junsen Zhang (Chinese University of Hong Kong)
Junjian Yi (Chinese University of Hong Kong)
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Locus of Control and Job Search Strategies
Marco Caliendo (IZA Bonn)
Deborah Cobb-Clark (Australian National University )
Arne Uhlendorff (IZA Bonn)
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The Cyclicality of Effective Wages Within Employer-Employee Matches in a Rigid Labor Market
Silke Anger (DIW Berlin)
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Vacancy Posting, Job Separation and Unemployment Fluctuations
Regis Barnichon (Federal Reserve Board)
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Employer Learning Under Asymmetric Information: The Role of Job Mobility
Ye Zhang (Indiana University-Purdue University-Indianapolis)
Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A707
AEA
Session: Ideas, Location and Innovation Policy (O3)
Presiding: Julia Lane (National Science Foundation)
Regional Disadvantage: How Non-compete Agreements Impact Careers, Entrepreneurship, and Innovative Dynamics
Lee Fleming (Harvard University)
Matt Marx (Harvard University)
Jasjit Singh (INSEAD)
Debbie Strumsky (University of North Carolina-Charlotte)
The Foundations of Regional Scientific Advantage: The Impact of Federal Stem Cell Policy on the Geography of Scientific Discovery
Jeffrey Furman (Boston University)
Fiona Murray (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Scott Stern (Northwestern University)
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Modeling the Innovative Process: Policy Implications
Suzanne Scotchmer (University of California-Berkeley)
Estimating the Effect of Exposure to Superstar Scientists: Evidence from Academia and the Biopharmaceutical Sector
Pierre Azoulay (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Joshua Graff Zivin (University of California-San Diego)
Discussants:
Carol Corrado (Conference Board)
Dan Black (University of Chicago)
Julia Lane (National Science Foundation)
Wes Cohen (Duke University)
Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M302
AEA
Session: Methods and Applications (C1)
Presiding: David Colander (Middlebury College)
Heterogeneity in income processes
Andriy Norets (Princeton University)
Sam Schulhofer-Wohl (Princeton University)
A Neurochemical Theory of Decision Making Under Risk
Songfa Zhong (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)
Soo Hong Chew (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)
Salomon Israel (Hebrew University)
Richard Ebstein ( Hebrew University)
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Median Unbiased Estimation of Structural Change Models: An Application to PPP
Hatice Ozer-Balli (Massey University)
David H. Papell (University of Houston)
Christian J. Murray (University of Houston)
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Risk Sensitive Allocations With Multiple Goods in International Finance: Existence, Survivorship, and Dynamics
Riccardo Colacito (University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill)
Mariano Massimiliano Croce (University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill)
Can You Trust the Good Guys?
Sebastian Fehrler (University of Zurich)
Michael Kosfeld (University of Frankfurt)
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Field Experiment on Incentive of Compilation and Behavioral Evaluation in Peer Review System
Takuya Nakaizumi (Kanto Gakuin University)
Mitsuharu Watanabe (Kanto Gakuin University)
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Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M105
AEA
Session: Internationalization of Firms (F1)
Presiding: Ryuhei Wakasugi (Kyoto University)
Firm Heterogeneity and Different Modes of Internationalization: Evidence from Japanese Firms
Ryuhei Wakasugi (Kyoto University)
Ayumu Tanaka (Kyoto University)
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Quantitative Evaluation of Determinants of Export and FDI: Firm-Level Evidence from Japan
Yasuyuki Todo (University of Tokyo)
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Firm Heterogeneity and FDI with Matching Frictions
Hitoshi Sato (Institute of Developing Economies)
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Intra-Firm Trade and Contract Completeness: Evidence from Japanese Affiliate Firms
Toshiyuki Matsuura (Keio University)
Banri Ito (Senshu University)
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Discussants:
Lee Branstetter (Carnegie Mellon University)
Isao Kamata (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
Hiroshi Mukunoki (Gakushuin University)
Shuichiro Nishioka (West Virginia University)
Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M104
AEA
Session: Housing and Labor Markets (J2)
Presiding: Fernando Ferreira (University Pennsylvania)
Dynamic Asset Pricing in a System of Local Housing Markets
Patrick Bayer (Duke University)
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Local Multipliers
Enrico Moretti (University of California-Berkeley)
Changes in Transportation Infrastructure and Commuting Patterns in U.S. Metropolitan Areas, 1960-2000
Nathaniel Baum-Snow (Brown University)
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Place Based Policies, Heterogeneity, and Agglomeration
Patrick Kline (University of California-Berkeley)
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Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M103
AEA
Session: Development 1 (O1)
Presiding: Suhas Ketkar (Vanderbilt University)
Adjustment Costs, the Marginal Product of Capital, and the Lucas Paradox
Robert S. Chirinko (University of Illinois-Chicago)
Debdulal Mallick (Deakin University)
Women, Children and Patience: Experimental Evidence from Indian Villages
Michal Bauer (Charles University)
Julie Chytilova (Charles University)
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Trade and Geography in the Origins of Islam
Stelios Michalopoulos (Tufts University)
Giovanni Prarolo (University of Bologna)
Alireza Naghavi (University of Bologna)
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On the Waterfront: An Empirical Study of Corruption in Ports
Sandra M Sequeira (Harvard University)
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Voter Rationality and Politician Incentives: Exploiting Luck in Indian and Pakistani Elections
Madiha Afzal (University of Maryland)
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Social Learning and Parameter Uncertainty in Irreversible Investments: Evidence from Greenhouse Adoption in Northern China
Honglin Wang (Hong Kong Monetary Authority)
Fan Yu (Claremont McKenna College)
Thomas Reardon (Michigan State University)
Scott Rozelle (Stanford University)
Jikun Huang (Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy)
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Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M102
AEA
Session: Circumstance and Selection in Early Childhood Health (J1)
Presiding: Hoyt Bleakley (University of Chicago)
Son Preference and Early Childhood Investments in China
Douglas Almond (Columbia University)
Hongbin Li (Tsinghua University)
Lingsheng Meng (University of Maryland)
The Marginal Child throughout the Life Cycle: Evidence from Early Law Variation
Elizabeth Ananat (Duke University & NBER)
Joanna Lahey (Texas A&M University)
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Health, Human Capital, and Development
Hoyt Bleakley (University of Chicago & NBER)
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The Effects of Experiencing the Great Depression as a Child on Socioeconomic and Health Outcomes
Price Fishback (University of Arizona & NBER)
Melissa Tomasson (Miami University in Ohio & NBER)
Vulnerable Mothers and Vulnerable Sons: Low-Cognitive-Achievement Mothers Discriminate Against Low Birth Weight Sons More Than Low Birth Weight Daughters.
Karen Norberg (Washington University-St. Louis & NBER)
Discussants:
Ren Mu (Texas A&M University)
Joe Ferrie (Northwestern University & NBER)
Pascaline Dupas (University of California-Los Angeles)
Rodney Andrews (University of Texas-Dallas)
Diane Schanzenbach (University of Chicago)
Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon A
AEA
Session: Deficit (E6) (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: Peter Diamond (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Alan Auerbach, University of California-Berkeley
Thomas Sargent, New York University
Martin Feldstein, NBER and Harvard University
Robert Barro, Harvard University
Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, L401
AEA
Session: The Firm and Regulation (L2)
Presiding: Stephen Strand (Carleton College)
Measuring the Degree of Competition Between Nonprofits and For-Profits: The Case of Fitness Centers
Teresa D. Harrison (Drexel University)
Katja Seim (University of Pennsylvania)
Delegation in Multi-Establishment Firms: The Structure of I.T. Systems Purchasing Authority
Kristina Steffenson McElheran (Harvard Business School)
Efficacy and Durability of Terrorist Organizations: New Evidence from the ITERATE Database, 1968-2007
S. Brock Blomberg (Claremont McKenna University)
Rozylyn C. Engel (U.S. Military Academy)
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Estimating Network Effects in the DVD Market
Gautam Gowrisankaran (University of Arizona)
Marc Rysman (Boston University)
The Importance of Hold Up in Contracting: Evidence from a Field Experiment
Antoinette Schoar (Masssachusetts Institute of Technology)
Rajkamal Iyer (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
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Add-on Pricing, Consumer Myopia and Regulatory Intervention
Ulrich Schuewer (Goethe University-Frankfurt)
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Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A708
AEA
Session: Energy, Environmental, Regional (Q5)
Presiding: Michael Bonnal (University of Tennessee-Chattanooga)
An Examination of the Effects of Environmental Regulations on Retail Gasoline Price Seasonality
Michael Connelly Davis (Missouri S&T)
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Good for the Air, Bad for the Water: The Effect of Ethanol Production on Water Pollution
Barrett E. Kirwan (University of Maryland)
Stacy Sneeringer (Wellesley College)
Bedrock Depth and the Formation of the Manhattan Skyline, 1890-1915
Jason Barr (Rutgers University)
Troy Tassier (Fordham University)
Rossen Trendafilov (Fordham University)
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The Value of Climate Amenities: Evidence from U.S. Migration Decisions
Paramita Sinha (RTI International)
Maureen Cropper (University of Maryland-College Park)
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The Lesser of Two Evils: An Empirical Investigation of FDI-Pollution Tradeoff
Myeong Hwan Kim (Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne)
Nodir Adilov (Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne)
Dialects, Cultural Identity, and Economic Exchange
Oliver Falck (IFO Institute for Economic Research)
Stephan Heblich (Max Planck Institute of Economics)
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Jan. 3, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A706
AEA
Session: National Defense Policy: Analysis and Implications (H1)
Presiding: Mike Hanlon (University of Washington)
Can Hearts and Minds Be Bought? The Economics of Counterinsurgency in Iraq
Eli Berman (University of California-San Diego)
Jacob N Shapiro (Princeton University)
Joseph H Felter (Stanford University)
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The Impact of Reconstruction Spending on the Labor Market for Insurgents
Radha Iyengar (London School of Economics)
Jonathan Monten (Yale University)
Matt Hansen (National Bureau of Economic Research)
Violent Rebellions and Criminal States
Mike Hanlon (University of Washington)
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The Humanitarian Impact of Economic Sanctions
Ioana M Petrescu (American Enterprise Institute)
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The Industrial Organization of Rebellion: The Logic of Forced Labor and Child Soldiering
Chris Blattman (Yale University)
Bernd Beber (Columbia University)
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Discussants:
Justin Wolfers (University of Pennsylvania)
Stefano Dellavigna (University of California-Berkeley)
Michael McBride (University of California-Irvine)
Robert McNab (Naval Postgraduate School)
Edward Miguel (University of California-Berkeley)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Atrium Ballroom A
AEA
Session: Remembering Arthur S. Goldberger (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: James Heckman (University of Chicago)
Lawrence Klein, University of Pennsylvania
Glen Cain, University of Wisconsin
Kate Antonovics, University of California-San Diego
Gary Chamberlain, Harvard University
Charles Manski, Northwestern University
Harry Kelejian, University of Maryland
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A701
AEA
Session: Risk and Retention in the Workplace: The Effect of Gender and Incentives (00)
Presiding: Linda Bell (Haverford College)
Women's Labor Choices in Promotion Tournaments: Experimental Evidence
Kerry Pannell (Depauw University)
Dorothea Herreiner (Loyola Marymount University)
Learning Through the Lens of Your Job: The Effect of Employer-Financed Education on Retention
Colleen Flaherty Manchester (University of Minnesota)
The Effects of Gender Composition of Top Management on the Economic Fallout
Cynthia Bansak (St. Lawrence University)
Mary Graham (Clarkson University)
Allan Zebedee (Clarkson University)
Discussants:
Lise Vesterlund (University of Pittsburgh)
John Bishop (Cornell University)
Judy Hellerstein (University of Maryland)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A705
AEA
Session: Adapting to Climate Change: Lessons from History (N5)
Presiding: Hoyt Bleakley (University of Chicago)
Adjusting to Climatic Variation: Historical Perspectives from North American Agricultural Development
Paul Rhode (University of Michigan)
Alan Olmstead (University of California-Davis)
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The Enduring Impact of the American Dust Bowl: Short and Long-run Adjustments to Environmental Catastrophe
Richard Hornbeck (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
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The Little Ice Age and Health: Europe from the Early Middle Ages to the Nineteenth Century
Richard H. Steckel (Ohio State University)
Adapting to Warmer Weather: Lessons from U.S. History
Hoyt Bleakley (University of Chicago)
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Discussants:
Hoyt Bleakley (University of Chicago)
Paul Rhode (University of Arizona)
Richard Hornbeck (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Sok Chul Hong (Sogang University)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A704
AEA
Session: Trade Collapses (F4) (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: Paolo Pesenti (Federal Reserve Bank-New York)
Marc Auboin, World Trade Organization
Jonathan Eaton, New York University
Kei-Mu Yi, Federal Reserve Bank-Philadelphia
Joe Kaboski, Ohio State University
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A703
AEA
Session: Research in Economic Education (00)
Presiding: William Greene (New York University)
Achievement Goals, Locus of Control, and Academic Success and Effort in Introductory and Intermediate Microeconomics
Lester Hadsell (State University of New York-Oneonta)
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The Effectiveness of Peer Tutoring on Student Achievement at the University Level
Vincent G. Munley (Lehigh University)
Eoghan Garvey (National University of Ireland, Galway)
Michael J. McConnell (Economic Research Service/USDA)
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Do Online Homework Tools Improve Student Results in Microeconomics Principles Courses?
William Lee (St. Mary's College of California)
Richard Courtney (St. Mary's College of California)
Steven J. Balassi (St. Mary's College of California)
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The Efficacy of Collaborative Learning Recitation Sessions on Student Outcomes
Kim Huynh (Indiana University)
David Jacho-Chavez (Indiana University)
James K. Self (Indiana University)
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Discussants:
Wendy Stock (Montana State University)
Sam Allgood (University of Nebraska-Lincoln)
Tisha Emerson (Baylor University)
Georg Schaur (University of Tennessee)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A702
AEA
Session: Topics in Markets and Firms (L0)
Presiding: Reuben Kyle (Middle Tennessee State University)
Measuring the Impact of Time of Use Rates on Peak and Off-peak Energy Consumption: Results from a Randomized Controlled Experiment
K. H. Tiedemann (BC Hydro)
I. M. Sulyma (BC Hydro)
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Gaming and Strategic Ambiguity in Incentive Provision
Florian Ederer (University of California-Los Angeles)
Richard Holden (University of Chicago)
Margaret Meyer (University of Oxford)
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Survival and Financing of Black Owned Start-ups in the U.S.
Yunwei Gai (Babson College)
Maria Minniti (Southern Methodist University)
Tariff Choice with Consumer Learning and Switching Costs
Ronald Goettler (University of Chicago)
Karen Clay (Carnegie Mellon University)
The Effect of Heterogeneity on the Performance of Employees and Organizational Divisions of the Firm
Fidan Ana Kurtulus (University of Massachusetts-Amherst)
Ability, Adverse Learning and Agency Costs: Evidence from Retail Banking
Douglas H. Frank (INSEAD)
Tomasz Obloj (INSEAD)
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Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International C
AEA
Session: Incorporating Behavioral Assumptions into Industrial Organization (L2)
Presiding: David Laibson (Harvard University)
Who Thinks About the Competition? Managerial Ability and Strategic Entry in US Local Telephone Markets
Avi Goldfarb (University of Toronto)
Mo Xiao (University of Arizona)
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Using Rationalizable Bounds for Conditional Choice Probabilities as Control Variables
Andres Aradillas-Lopez (Princeton University)
To Review or Not To Review? Limited Strategic Thinking at the Movie Box Office
Alexander L. Brown (Texas A&M University)
Colin F. Camerer (California Institute of Technology)
Dan Lovallo (University of Sydney)
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Fishing for Fools
Ulrike Malmendier (University of California-Berkeley )
Adam Szeidl (University of California-Berkeley )
Discussants:
Stephen R. Ryan (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Adam Rosen (University College London)
Stefano Dellavigna (University of California-Berkeley)
Xavier Gabaix (New York University)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International B
AEA
Session: Financial Institutions 2 (G2)
Presiding: Peter Liu (Cornell University)
Securitization and Distressed Loan Renegotiation: Evidence From the Subprime Mortgage Crisis
Tomasz Piskorski (Columbia Business School)
Amit Seru (University of Chicago)
Vikrant Vig (London Business School)
Financial Intermediary Leverage and Value-at-Risk
Tobias Adrian (Federal Reserve Bank-New York)
Hyun Song Shin (Princeton University)
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The Costs of Being Private: Evidence from the Loan Market
Anthony Saunders (New York University)
Sascha Steffen (Goehte University-Frankfurt)
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Are Mutual Fund Fees Competitive? What IQ-Related Behavior Tells Us
Mark Grinblatt (University of California-Los Angeles)
Seppo Ikaheimo (Helsinki School of Economics)
Matti Keloharju (Helsinki School of Economics)
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The Dark Side of Bank Wholesale Funding
Rocco Huang (Federal Reserve Bank-Philadelphia)
Lev Ratnovski (International Monetary Fund)
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Financial Leverage, Corporate Investment and Stock Returns
Ali K. Ozdagli (Federal Reserve Bank of Boston)
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Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A707
AEA
Session: Demand and Supply for Government Bonds (E4)
Presiding: Dimitri Vayanos (London School of Economics)
Bond Positions, Expectations, and the Yield Curve
Monika Piazzesi (Stanford University)
Martin Schneider (Stanford University)
Bond Supply and Excess Bond Returns
Dimitri Vayanos (London School of Economics)
Robin Greenwood (Harvard Business School)
[Download Preview]
Repo Market Effects of the Term Securities Lending Facility
Michael Fleming (Federal Reserve Bank-New York)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh (New York University)
Annette Vissing-Jorgensen (Northwestern University)
Arvind Krishnamurthy (Northwestern University)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M304
AEA
Session: Energy Use in Developing Countries (Q4)
Presiding: A. Mushfiq Mobarak (Yale University)
Household Energy Use in Developing Countries: Anti-Poverty Programs and Appliance Acquisition
Alan Fuchs (University of California-Berkeley)
Paul Gertler (University of California-Berkeley)
Orie Shelef (University of California-Berkeley)
Catherine Wolfram (University of California-Berkeley)
Development Effects of Electrification: Evidence from the Geologic Placement of Hydropower Plants in Brazil
Molly Lipscomb (University of Notre Dame)
A. Mushfiq Mobarak (Yale University)
Tania Barham (University of Colorado-Boulder)
Demand for Fuel Economy in the Indian Passenger Vehicle Market
Randy Chugh (University of Maryland-College Park)
Maureen Cropper (University of Maryland-College Park)
Urvashi Narain (World Bank)
[Download Preview]
Costly Blackouts? Measuring Productivity and Environmental Effects of Electricity Shortages
Karen Fisher-Vanden (Pennsylvania State University)
Erin Mansur (Yale University)
Juliana Wang (Yale University)
Discussants:
Manuela Angelucci (University of Arizona)
Taryn Dinkelman (Princeton University)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M302
AEA
Session: International Trade 1 (F1)
Presiding: Vikram Kumar (Davidson College)
Matching and Inequality in the World Economy
Arnaud Costinot (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Jonathan Vogel (Columbia University)
[Download Preview]
Quality Heterogeneity across Firms and Export Destinations
Kalina Manova (Stanford University)
[Download Preview]
Income Differences and Prices of Tradables
Ina Simonovska (University of Minnesota)
[Download Preview]
Accounting for Intermediates: Production Sharing and Trade in Value Added
Robert C Johnson (Princeton University)
Guillermo Noguera (University of California-Berkeley)
[Download Preview]
Offshoring and the Onshore Composition of Tasks and Skills
Sascha O Becker (Stirling University)
Karolina Ekholm (Stockholm University)
Marc A Muendler (University of California-San Diego)
[Download Preview]
Business Travel as an Input to International Trade
Jennifer Pamela Poole (University of California-Santa Cruz)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M104
AEA
Session: Law and Economics 1 (K1)
Presiding: James Leitzel (University of Chicago)
Forgive and Forget: Who Gets Credit after Bankruptcy and Why?
Ethan Cohen-Cole (Federal Reserve Bank-Boston)
Burcu Duygan-Bump (Federal Reserve Bank-Boston)
Judit Montoriol-Garriga (Federal Reserve Bank-Boston)
[Download Preview]
Everybody Stay Cool, This Is a Robbery!
Giovanni Mastrobuoni (Collegio Carlo Alberto)
[Download Preview]
Measuring the Influence of Media Coverage on Court Decisions
Claire Lim (Stanford University)
James Snyder (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
David Stromberg (Stockholm University)
WHO BRIBES? Evidence from the United Nations Oil-for-Food Program
Yujin Jeong (George Washington University)
Robert J. Weiner (George Washington University)
Democracy, Judicial Attitudes and Heterogeneity: the Civil Versus Common Law Tradition
Carmine Guerriero (University of Amsterdam)
[Download Preview]
Diluting Deterrence: Extra-Legal Actors and the Courts
Amalavoyal Chari (Cornell University)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon D
AEA
Session: Capital Flows, Contagion and Regulatory Responses (F3)
Presiding: Nobuhiro Kiyotaki (Princeton University)
Contagion, Liberalization, and the Optimal Structure of Globalization
Joseph E. Stiglitz (Columbia University)
Decoupling and Contagion
Anton Korinek (University of Maryland)
Agustin Roitman (University of Maryland)
Carlos Vegh (University of Maryland)
[Download Preview]
Overborrowing and Systemic Externalities in the Business Cycle
Javier Bianchi (University of Maryland)
[Download Preview]
Excessive Volatility in Capital Flows: A Pigouvian Taxation Approach
Olivier Jeanne (Johns Hopkins University)
Anton Korinek (University of Maryland)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Marcus Miller (Warwick University)
Olivier Jeanne (Johns Hopkins University)
Alessandro Rebucci (Inter-American Development Bank)
Nobuhiro Kiyotaki (Princeton University)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon C
AEA
Session: Personal Bankruptcy and Home Foreclosure (K3)
Presiding: Michelle White (University of California-San Diego)
Race, Gender and Political Ideology in Personal Bankruptcy Outcomes
Sumit Agarwal (Federal Reserve Bank-Chicago)
Souphala Chomsisengphet (Office of the Comptroller of the Currency)
Robert McMenamin (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago)
Paige Marta Skiba (Vanderbilt University )
Did Bankruptcy Reform Contribute to the Mortgage Crisis?
Wenli Li (Federal Reserve Bank-Philadelphia)
Michelle White (University of California-San Diego)
Ning Zhu (University of California-Davis)
The Regulation of Non-Judicial Debt Collection and the Consumer's Choice Among Repayment, Bankruptcy and Informal Bankruptcy
Amanda Dawsey (University of Montana-Missoula)
Richard Hynes (University of Virginia)
Lawrence Ausubel (University of Maryland)
[Download Preview]
How the 2005 Bankruptcy Reform Increased Foreclosures & Lowered the Cost of Auto Credit
Donald Morgan (Federal Reserve Bank-Chicago)
Benjamin Iverson (Harvard University)
Matthew Botsch (University of California-Berkeley)
[Download Preview]
Effects of Foreclosure Laws and Bankruptcy Asset Exemptions on Mortgage Default and Foreclosure Rates
Jevgenijs Steinbuks (University of Cambridge)
Gregory Elliehausen (George Washington University)
Chintal Desai (University of Texas-Pan-American)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Marianne Bertrand (University of Chicago)
Itzhak Ben-David (Ohio State University)
Edward Morrison (Columbia University)
Brian Melzer (Northwestern University)
Susan Carter (Vanderbilt University)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon A
AEA
Session: Growth in a Partially De-Globalized World (O1)
Presiding: Philippe Aghion (Harvard University)
Limits of Political Globalization
Daron Acemoglu (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Pierre Yared (Columbia University)
[Download Preview]
Making Room for China in the World Economy
Dani Rodrik (Harvard University)
[Download Preview]
Which Parts of Globalization Matter for Catch-up Growth?
Paul Romer (Stanford University)
Discussants:
A. Michael Spence (Stanford University)
Philippe Aghion (Harvard University)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, L401
AEA
Session: Managerial Incentives and Executive Compensation (G3)
Presiding: Oliver Hart (Harvard University)
Growing Out of Trouble? Managerial Responses to Risk of Corporate Liability
Todd A. Gormley (University of Pennsylvania)
David A. Matsa (Northwestern University)
Managerial Incentives and Value Creation: Evidence from Private Equity
Phillip Leslie (Stanford University)
Paul Oyer (Stanford University)
[Download Preview]
Competition for Managers, Corporate Governance and Incentive Compensation
Viral V. Acharya (New York University)
Marc Gabarro (London Business School)
Paolo Volpin (London Business School)
[Download Preview]
Dynamic Incentive Accounts
Alex Edmans (University of Pennsylvania)
Xavier Gabaix (New York University)
Tomasz Sadzik (New York University)
Yuliy Sannikov (Princeton University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Sendhil Mullainathan (Harvard University)
Steven N. Kaplan (University of Chicago)
Michael Weisbach (Ohio State University)
Oliver Hart (Harvard University)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A708
AEA
Session: Race and Self-Employment: Capital Markets and Institutions (J7)
Presiding: Alicia Robb (University of California-Santa Cruz)
Financial Capital Injections Among New Black and White Business Ventures: Evidence from the Kauffman Firm Survey
Alicia Robb (University of California-Santa Cruz)
Rob Fairlie (University of California-Santa Cruz)
David Robinson (Duke University)
[Download Preview]
How do Credit Card Interest Rates Impact Entrepreneurship
Ronnie Chatterji (Duke University)
Robert Seamans (University of California-Berkeley)
[Download Preview]
The Role of Information and Institutions in Understanding the Black-White Gap in Self-Employment
Ruth Uwaifo (Georgia Institute of Technology)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Mariassunta Giannetti (Stockholm School of Economics)
Sandy Darity (Duke University)
Vicki Bogan (Cornell University)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A706
AEA
Session: Evaluating Alternative School Models Using Lotteries (I2)
Presiding: Parag Pathak (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
How New York City's Charter Schools Affect Achievement
Caroline Hoxby (Stanford University)
[Download Preview]
Accountability and Flexibility in Public Schools: New Evidence from Boston's Charters and Pilots
Josh Angrist (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Atila Abdulkadiroglu (Duke University)
Susan Dynarski (University of Michigan)
Thomas Kane (Harvard University)
Parag Pathak (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
[Download Preview]
Identification of Causal Effects when Program Participation is Partially Determined by Lotteries: The Case of Oversubscribed Magnet Programs
Dennis Epple (Carnegie-Mellon University)
Holger Sieg (Carnegie-Mellon University)
Livin in the Zone: An Analysis of a Bold Experiment in Harlem
Roland Fryer (Harvard University)
Discussants:
Holger Sieg (Carnegie-Mellon University)
Susan Dynarski (University of Michigan)
Jonah Rockoff (Columbia University)
Josh Angrist (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M103
AEA/ACAES
Session: The Economics of the ASEAN Economic Community (F1)
Presiding: Manoranjan Dutta (Rutgers University)
An Empirical Assessment of the ASEAN Economic Community
Hiro Lee (Osaka University)
Michael G. Plummer (Johns Hopkins University, SAIS-Bologna)
Governance and Regional Economic Integration: What Stakes for ASEAN and Asia?
Masahiro Kawai (Asian Development Bank Institute)
Robert F. Owen (University of Nantes)
ASEAN FTAs: Are They Useful to Business and a Building Block towards the AEC?
Ganeshan Wignaraja (Asian Development Bank)
FDI Flow Volatility and ASEAN Members: An Exploratory Approach
James P. Gander (University of Utah)
Steve Reynolds (University of Utah)
Richard Fowles (University of Utah)
Discussants:
Mordechai E. Kreinin (Michigan State University)
Ayhan Kose (International Monetary Fund)
Kanda Naknoi ()
Mardi Dungey (University of Cambridge)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Hilton Atlanta, Room 211
AEA/AERE
Session: Combining Environmental and Development Goals: Strategies for Moving Forward (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: Kathleen Segerson (University of Connecticut )
Christopher Barrett, Cornell University
Ariel Dinar, University of California-Riverside
Paul Ferraro, Georgia State University
Charles Perrings, Arizona State University
Ma Zhong, Renmin University, China
David Zilberman, University of California-Berkeley
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Hilton Atlanta, Room 204
AEA/AREUEA
Session: The Future of the GSEs (L3)
Presiding: Kevin Warsh (Federal Reserve Board)
Do the GSEs Expand the Supply of Mortgage Credit?
Stuart A. Gabriel (University of California-Los Angeles)
Stuart S. Rosenthal (Syracuse University)
GSE Affordable Housing Goals and Subprime Mortgage Lending
W. Scott Frame (Federal Reserve Bank-Atlanta)
Kristopher Gerardi (Federal Reserve Bank-Atlanta)
James Wilcox (University of California-Berkeley)
The Role of the Government in Financing Mortgages in the United States and the Need for a Government Bond Insurer
Diana Hancock (Federal Reserve Board )
Wayne Passmore (Federal Reserve Board )
The Future Role of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the US Mortgage Market
Dwight Jaffee (University of California-Berkeley)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Brent Ambrose (Pennsylvania State University)
Shane Sherlund (Federal Reserve Board)
Robert Van Order (George Washington University)
Anthony Sanders (George Mason University)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Hilton Atlanta, Room 205
AEA/HERO
Session: Health System Reform: Essential for Universal Insurance Coverage?
Presiding: Donald Yett (University of Southern California)
Impact of Medical Home Intervention on Health Care Utilization and Spending
Meredith Rosenthal (Harvard University)
[Download Preview]
Economics of Comparative Effectiveness
Dana Goldman (Rand)
Darius Lakdawalla (Rand)
Tomas Philipson (University of Chicago)
Pharmaceutical Industry Drug Quality and Regulation: Evidence from the U.S. and Italy
Vicenzo Atilla (University of Rome)
Jay Bhattacharya (Stanford University)
Lorenzo Carbonari (University of Rome)
Discussants:
James Rebitzer (Boston University)
Amitabh Chandra (Harvard University)
Rusty Tchernis (Indiana University)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Hilton Atlanta, Grand Salon C
AEA/SPM
Session: Economics of Crime (K4)
Presiding: Dominick Salvatore (Fordham University)
On the Allocation of Criminal Activity and Policy to Ensure Its Social Benefits
William Baumol (New York University)
On the Measure and Economic Analysis of Crime
Antonio Costa (United Nations Office of Drugs and Crime)
New Directions in the Economic Analysis of Crime
Isaac Ehrlich (University of Buffalo)
Whodunit? Financial Crime and Near-Crime in the Economic Collapse
Richard Freeman (Harvard University)
Understanding Why Crime Exploded in the 1960s, and the Implications for Future Crime
Steven Levitt (University of Chicago)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M109
AEA/TPUG
Session: Externalities, Space and Rents in Transportation (L9)
Presiding: Jeffrey Osleeb (University of Connecticut)
Do Energy Efficiency Standards Increase Social Welfare?
Wallace E. Oates (University of Maryland)
Ian W.H. Parry (Resources for the Future)
David Evans (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency)
[Download Preview]
Spatial Heterogeneity and the Geographic Distribution of Airport Noise
Jeffrey P. Cohen (University of Hartford)
Cletus C. Coughlin (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis)
[Download Preview]
Union Wage Premiums Following Intrastate Deregulation: Evidence from the U.S. Trucking Industry
Steven Trick (University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee)
James Peoples (University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee)
[Download Preview]
Geography, Rates, and Pricing in Railroad Markets
Wesley W. Wilson (University of Oregon)
Discussants:
Ken Button (George Mason University)
Wim Vijverberg (City University of New York)
John Brown (Georgia Southern University)
Jan. 3, 10:15 am, Hilton Atlanta, Room 408
AEA/URPE
Session: Debating Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand (A2)
Presiding: Duncan Foley (New School for Social Research)
Two Into One Won't Go: A Critical View of the Popular AD/AS Model
Roy Grieve (University of Strathclyde)
[Download Preview]
Critique of Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply: Mankiw's Presentation
Fred Moseley (Mount Holyoke College)
[Download Preview]
Response to Grieve and Critique
William Scarth (McMaster College)
Response to Moseley and Critique
Mark Taylor (Warwick University)
Discussants:
David Collander (Middlebury College)
Michele Naples (College of New Jersey)
Jan. 3, 10:30 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Atrium Ballroom B
AEA
Session: Chairman Bernanke Presentation (E52)
Presiding: Robert Hall (Stanford University)
Ben S. Bernanke, Federal Reserve Board
Jan. 3, 12:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Imperial Ballroom
AEA/AFA
Session: Joint Luncheon
Presiding: Darrell Duffie (Stanford University)
Robert Shiller, Yale University
Jan. 3, 12:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A704
AEA/EEA
Session: Lecture
Presiding: James Poterba (MIT and NBER)
Empirical Evidence and Tax Policy Design: Lessons from the Mirrlees Review
Richard Blundell (University College London)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 3, 12:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M105
AEA/HES
Session: Complexity in the History of Economic Thought (B2)
Presiding: Mauro Boianovsky (Universidade de Brasilia)
Chaos Theory Before Lorenz
J. Barkley Rosser Jr. (James Madison University)
The Emergence of Agent-based Modeling in Economics
John B. Davis (Marquette University)
[Download Preview]
Inherent Vice: Complexity vs. Behavioral Explanations of Macroeconomic Crisis
Philip E. Mirowski (Notre Dame University)
The Sins of the Sons of Samuelson
David Colander (Middlebury College)
Casey Rothschild (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Wade Hands (University of Pudget Sound)
Elias Khalil (Monash University)
Judy Klein (Mary Baldwin College)
Michael Makowsky (Towson University)
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Atrium Ballroom A
AEA
Session: Mortgages (G2)
Presiding: Susan Woodward (Sand Hill Econometrics)
The Equilibrium Distribution of Prices Paid by Imperfectly Informed Customers
Susan Woodward (Sand Hill Econometrics)
Robert Hall (Stanford University)
Past Failures and Potential Success of Mandated Mortgage Disclosures: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment and Qualitative Interviews with Real Consumers
Janis Pappalardo (Federal Trade Commission)
Jim Lacko (Federal Trade Commission)
Securitization and Moral Hazard: Evidence from a Lender Cut-off Rule
Ryan Bubb (Office of Management & Budget)
Alex Kaufman (Harvard University)
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A707
AEA
Session: The Massachusetts Health Reform Experiment: Early Experiences (I1)
Presiding: Jonathan Gruber (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
How Sensitive are Low Income Individuals to Price Differences Across Health Plan Choices?
Jonathan Gruber (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
David Chan (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
[Download Preview]
Disentangling the Effects of Health Reform in Massachusetts: How Important Are the Special Provisions for Young Adults?
Sharon Long (Urban Institute)
Karen Stockley (Urban Institute)
Alshadye Yemane (Urban Institute)
[Download Preview]
The Impact of Copayments on Low Income Populations
Amitabh Chandra (Harvard University )
Jonathan Gruber (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Robin McKnight (Wellesley College)
Discussants:
Joseph Newhouse (Harvard University)
Thomas Buchmueller (University of Michigan)
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A705
AEA
Session: Field Experiments on Consumer Purchase Behavior (D1)
Presiding: David Reiley (Yahoo! Research)
Experiments in Choice
Tom Chang (University of Southern California)
Sendhil Mullainathan (Harvard University)
Eldar Shafir (Princeton University)
How Does Popularity Information Affect Choices? A Field Experiment
Catherine Tucker (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Juanjuan Zhang (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
[Download Preview]
Does Retail Advertising Work? Measuring the Effects of Advertising on Sales via a Controlled Experiment on Yahoo!
Randall Lewis (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
David Reiley (Yahoo! Research)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Alan Sorensen (Stanford University)
Jonathan Zinman (Dartmouth College)
Sendhil Mullainathan (Harvard University)
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A704
AEA
Session: On the Price of Capital: International Macro Perspectives (F4)
Presiding: Angus Deaton (Princeton University)
The Mystery of Capital Prices
Laura Alfaro (Harvard Business School)
Giovanni Peri (University of California-Davis)
Alan M. Taylor (University of California-Davis)
[Download Preview]
The Elasticity of Trade: Estimates and Evidence
Ina Simonovska (University of Minnesota)
Michael Waugh (Federal Reserve Bank-Minneapolis )
[Download Preview]
International Capital Mobility Through the Lens of the Neoclassical Model: Puzzles, Private Flows, and Global Imbalances
Laura Alfaro (Harvard Business School)
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan (University of Houston)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
James Feyrer (Dartmouth College)
Kim Ruhl (New York University)
Francesco Caselli (London School of Economics)
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A703
AEA
Session: Banks and the Real Economy: Evidence from the Crisis of 2007-2009 (G3)
Presiding: Heitor Almeida (University of Illinois)
Liquidity Management in the Financial Crisis
Victoria Ivashina (Harvard Business School)
David Scharfstein (Harvard Business School)
The Real Effects of Financial Constraints: Evidence from a Financial Crisis
Murillo Campello (University of Illinois)
John Graham (Duke University)
Campbell Harvey (Duke University)
[Download Preview]
Aggregate Risk and the Choice Between Cash and Lines of Credit
Viral Acharya (New York University)
Heitor Almeida (University of Illinois)
Murillo Campello (University of Illinois)
[Download Preview]
Costly External Finance, Corporate Investment, and the Subprime Mortgage Credit Crisis
Ran Duchin (University of Michigan)
Oguzhan Ozbas (University of Southern California)
Berk Sensoy (University of Southern California)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Philip Strahan (Boston College)
Peter Tufano (Harvard Business School)
Ran Duchin (University of Michigan)
Amir Sufi (University of Chicago)
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International C
AEA
Session: Financial Markets 1 (G1)
Presiding: Abigail Hornstein (Wesleyan University)
Rollover Risk during the Crisis
Angelo Ranaldo (Swiss National Bank)
Asani Sarkar (Federal Reserve Bank-New York)
Consumption Volatility Risk
Oliver Boguth (University of British Columbia)
Lars-Alexander Kuehn (Carnegie Mellon University)
[Download Preview]
Assessing the Effectiveness of the Paulson "Teaser Freezer" Plan: Evidence from the ABX Index
Eliana Balla (Federal Reserve Bank-Richmond)
Breck Robinson (Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond & University of Delaware)
Robert Carpenter (Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond & University of Maryland-Baltimore County)
[Download Preview]
Financial Intermediation, Asset Prices, and Macroeconomic Dynamics
Tobias Adrian (Federal Reserve Bank-New York)
Emanuel Moench (Federal Reserve Bank-New York)
Hyun Song Shin (Princeton University)
[Download Preview]
Your House or Your Credit Card, Which Would You Choose? Personal Delinquency Tradeoffs and Precautionary Liquidity Motives
Ethan Cohen-Cole (Federal Reserve Bank-Boston)
Jonathan Morse (Federal Reserve Bank-Boston)
[Download Preview]
A Trans-Niagara Tale of Informed Traders
Paul Moon Sub Choi (Cornell University & State University of New York-Binghamton )
[Download Preview]
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International B
AEA
Session: Agriculture and Energy: New Direct and Indirect Links Can Lead to Unintended Consequences (Q4)
Presiding: William H. Meyers (University of Missouri )
Economy-Wide Implications from U.S. Bioenergy Expansion
Mark Gehlhar (Economic Research Service/USDA)
Agapi Somwaru (Economic Research Service/USDA)
Peter Dixon (Monash University)
Maureen Rimmer (Monash University)
Ashley Winston (Monash University)
[Download Preview]
Ethanol Policy Effects on US Natural Gas Prices and Quantities
Jarrett Whistance (University of Missouri)
Wyatt Thompson (University of Missouri)
Seth Meyer (University of Missouri)
[Download Preview]
Is Biofuel the Culprit: OPEC food and fuel
Gal Hochman (University of California-Berkeley)
Deepak Rajagopal (University of California-Berkeley)
David Zilberman (University of California-Berkeley)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Vincent Smith (Montana State University)
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M304
AEA
Session: International Trade 2 (F1)
Presiding: Michael Clemens (Center for Global Development)
A Model of International Cities: Implications for Real Exchange Rates
Mario J. Crucini (Vanderbilt University)
Hakan Yilmazkuday (Temple University)
[Download Preview]
Tough Love: Do Czech Suppliers Learn from Their Relationships with Multinationals?
Beata Javorcik (University of Oxford )
Mariana Spatareanu (Rutgers University)
[Download Preview]
Corruption, Delays, and the Pattern of Trade
Quoc-Anh Do (Singapore Management University)
Karine Serfaty-de Medeiros (OC&C Strategy Consultants)
A Multi-Sector Specific Factors Model of the U.S. Economy with Skilled and Unskilled Labor as Mobile Factors
Can Dogan (Lamar University)
[Download Preview]
Financial Development and the Patterns of International Capital Flows
Juergen vonHagen (University of Bonn and Indiana University)
Haiping Zhang (Singapore Management University)
[Download Preview]
How Sensitive Is Foreign Investment in China to Wage Differences? Skill Intensity, Product Market Competition, and Networks
Xuepeng Liu (Kennesaw State University)
Mary E. Lovely (Syracuse University)
Jan Ondrich (Syracuse University)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A701
AEA
Session: Multi-Sided Platforms: Theory and Measurement (L1)
Presiding: Michael Katz (New York University)
Why Do Intermediaries Divert Search?
Andrei Hagiu (Harvard Business School)
Bruno Jullien (Toulouse School of Economics)
[Download Preview]
A Price Theory of Multi-Sided Platforms
E. Glen Weyl (Harvard Society of Fellows and Toulouse School of Economics)
[Download Preview]
Competition between Exchanges: Lessons from the Battle of the Bund
Estelle Cantillon (Universite Libre de Bruxelles)
Pai-Ling Yin (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
[Download Preview]
Platform Pricing at Sportscard Conventions
Ginger Zhe Jin (University of Maryland)
Marc Rysman (Boston University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Michael L. Katz (New York University)
Luis M. B. Cabral (New York University)
Jerry A. Hausman (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Greg Lewis (Harvard University)
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M302
AEA
Session: Law and Economics 2 (K4)
Presiding: Naci Mocan (Louisiana State University)
Intended and Unintended Consequences of Prison Reform
Naci Mocan (Louisiana State University)
Richard Boylan (Rice University)
[Download Preview]
Enforcement Spillovers
Johannes Rincke (University of Munich)
Christian Traxler (Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods)
[Download Preview]
The Economics of Rape Reporting: Will Victims Pay for Police Involvement?
Emily Owens (Cornell University)
Jordan Matsudaira (Cornell University)
[Download Preview]
Optimal Compensation for Regulatory Takings
Paul Pecorino (University of Alabama)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Hope Corman (Rider University)
Sara Markowitz (Emory University)
Lars Lefgren (Brigham Young University)
Marco Castaneda (Tulane University)
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M104
AEA
Session: Information, Uncertainty, Networks (D8)
Presiding: Jennifer Reinganum (Vanderbilt University)
Initiating Bargaining
David Goldreich (University of Toronto)
Lukasz Pomorski (University of Toronto)
[Download Preview]
Financial Value of Reputation: Evidence from the eBay Auctions of Gmail Invitations
Qin Lei (Southern Methodist University)
[Download Preview]
Learning and Discovery
Boyan Jovanovic (New York University)
[Download Preview]
Group Cooperation under Uncertainty
Min Gong (University of Pennsylvania)
Jonathan Baron (University of Pennsylvania)
Howard Kunreuther (University of Pennsylvania)
[Download Preview]
Exploring Higher Order Risk Effects
Harris Schlesinger (University of Alabama)
Cary Deck (University of Arkansas)
[Download Preview]
Reputable Friends as Watchdogs: Social Incentives and Modes of Governance
Petra Persson (Columbia University)
Samuel Lee (New York University)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon D
AEA
Session: How Should the Financial Crisis Change How We Teach Economics? (00) (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: David Colander (Middlebury College)
Benjamin Friedman, Harvard University
Raghuram Rajan, University of Chicago
Robert Shiller, Yale University
Alan Blinder, Princeton University
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon C
AEA
Session: Measuring Disaster Risk (F3)
Presiding: Geert Bekaert (Columbia University)
Stock Market Crashes and Depressions
Robert Barro (Harvard University)
Jose Ursua (Harvard University)
[Download Preview]
Disasters Implied by Equity Index Options
David Backus (New York University)
Mike Chernov (London Business School)
Ian Martin (Stanford University)
[Download Preview]
Can Rare Events Explain the Equity Premium Puzzle?
Christian Julliard (Carnegie Mellon University)
Anisha Gosh (London School of Economics)
Crash Risk in Currency Markets
Emmanuel Farhi (Harvard University)
Samuel P. Fraiberger (New York University)
Xavier Gabaix (New York University)
Romain Ranciere (International Monetary Fund)
Adrien Verdelhan (Boston University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Jessica Wachter (University of Pennsylvania)
David Bates (University of Iowa)
Hanno Lustig (University of California-Los Angeles)
Geert Bekaert (Columbia University)
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon A
AEA
Session: Growth or Stagnation after Recession? (F4)
Presiding: Dominick Salvatore (Fordham University)
Sustaining the recovery. Challenges on the supply and the demand side
Olivier Blanchard (International Monetary Fund)
[Download Preview]
U.S. Growth in the Decade Ahead
Martin Feldstein (Harvard University)
[Download Preview]
Growth and Crisis in the World Economy
Dale Jorgenson (Harvard University)
Global Imbalances and the Genesis of the Great Recession of 2007
Kenneth Rogoff (Harvard University)
Robust Growth or Anemic Recovery in the U.S. and the Global Economy
Joseph Stiglitz (Columbia University)
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, L401
AEA
Session: Empirical Health (I1)
Presiding: Daniel Millimet (Southern Methodist University)
The Effect of School Accountability Policies on Children's Health
Patricia M. Anderson (Dartmouth College & NBER)
Kristin F. Butcher (Wellesley College)
Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach (University of Chicago)
[Download Preview]
You'll Never Be Fat Again: Deceptive Advertising of OTC Weight Loss Products
John Cawley (Cornell University)
Rosemary Avery (Cornell University)
Matthew Eisenberg (Cornell University)
Education, Knowledge and the Evolution of Disparities in Health
Anna Aizer (Brown University)
[Download Preview]
Estimation of Treatment Effects Without an Exclusion Restriction: with an Application to the Analysis of the School Breakfast Program
Daniel L. Millimet (Southern Methodist University )
Rusty Tchernis (Georgia State University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
David Figlio (Northwestern University)
Darius N. Lakdawalla (RAND Corporation)
Jody L. Sindelar (Yale University)
Jason Fletcher (Yale University)
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A708
AEA
Session: Evidence on AEA and NSF Mentoring Programs (00)
Presiding: William Darity, Jr. (Duke University)
Can Mentoring Help Female Assistant Professors? The Case of CSWEP's CeMENT Program
Francine Blau (Cornell University)
Rachel Croson (University of Texas-Dallas)
Janet Currie (Columbia University)
Donna Ginther (University of Kansas)
The Impact of Pipeline Mentoring Programs
Charles Becker (Duke University)
Gregory Price (Moorehouse College)
Discussants:
Hank Farber (Princeton University)
Claudia Goldin (Harvard University)
Mark Lopez (Pew Hispanic Center)
Rhonda Sharpe (Bennett College for Women)
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A706
AEA
Session: Over 50 Years of NSF Support for Economics: 35 Years Through Economics Program Officer Daniel Newlon (O3) (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: Ernst Berndt (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Daniel H. Newlon, retired from National Science Foundation
Edward P. Lazear, Stanford University
Barbara M. Fraumeni, University of Southern Maine
Charles R. Plott, California Institute of Technology
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Hilton Atlanta, Room 208
AEA/CEANA
Session: Financial Markets and the Macro Economy
Presiding: Serena Ng (Columbia University)
Credit Frictions and Monetary Policy Analysis
Michael Woodford (Columbia University)
[Download Preview]
Financial Intermediation and Credit Policy
Nobuhiro Kiyotaki (Princeton University)
[Download Preview]
Financial Factors in Business Cycles
Lawrence J. Christiano (Northwestern University)
Roberto Motto (European Central Bank)
Massimo Rostagno (European Central Bank)
The Macroeconomic Effects of Housing Wealth, Housing Finance, and Limited Risk Sharing in General Equilibrium
Jack Favilukis (London School of Economics)
Sydney C. Ludvigson (New York University)
Stijn van Nieuwerburgh (New York University)
Discussants:
Tao Zha (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta)
John Leahy (New York University)
Jan. 3, 2:30 pm, Hilton Atlanta, Room 201
AEA/IAEE
Session: Climate Policy for a Post-Kyoto World (Q)
Presiding: Carlo Bollino (University of Perugia, Italy)
Global Climate Policy Scenarios: An Update
John Weyant (Stanford University)
[Download Preview]
Climate Change Policy After Copenhagen
Robert N. Stavins (Harvard University)
[Download Preview]
Rethinking Climate Treaty Negotiations
Scott Barrett (Columbia University)
Jan. 3, 4:45 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Imperial Ballroom
AEA
Session: Richard T. Ely Lecture (L11)
Presiding: Robert Hall (Stanford University)
Hal Varian, University of California-BerkeleyComputer Mediated Transactions
Jan. 3, 8:00 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A704
AEA
Session: The Economics Humor Session in Honor of Caroline Postelle Clotfelter (A10)
Presiding: Kenneth West (University of Wisconsin)
Busted Dreams and Cheatin' Hearts: The Credit Crisis, Nashville-Style
James J. Heckman (University of Chicago)
Merle Hazard (www.merlehazard.com)
The Economics of Faking Ecstasy
Yoram Bauman (University of Washington)
Hugo Mialon (Emory University)
Economists Do It with Models
Merle Hazard (Shayne and Company)
Jodi N. Beggs (Harvard University)
What to Expect When You're Expecting the Nobel Prize
Yoram Bauman (www.standupeconomist.com)

January 4, 2010

Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Atrium Ballroom A
AEA
Session: Growth Diagnostics in Practice (O5)
Presiding: Dani Rodrik (Harvard University)
Constraints to Growth in Malawi
Lucia Hanmer (DFID)
Nick Lea (DFID)
[Download Preview]
Ghana
Leonardo Garrido (African Development Bank)
Gaston Gohou (African Development Bank)
Tonia Kandiero (African Development Bank)
Iza Lejarraga (African Development Bank)
Abebe Shimeles (African Development Bank)
What is the weakest link for entrepreneurial activity in Burundi?
Rodrigo Wagner (Harvard University)
[Download Preview]
Diagnostics in Transition: Analyzing the Constraints to Economic Growth in Moldova
Ariel BenYishay (Millennium Challenge Corporation)
Franck S. Wiebe (Millennium Challenge Corporation)
[Download Preview]
Competitiveness and Growth in Argentina: Appropriability, Misallocation or Disengagement?
Gabriel Sanchez (Inter-American Development Bank)
Ines Butler (IERAL, Argentina)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Philippe Aghion (Harvard University)
Justin Yifu Lin (World Bank)
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A707
AEA
Session: Industrial Organization and Environmental Policy (L5)
Presiding: Stephen Ryan (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Pollution Permits and the Evolution of Market Structure
Stephen P. Ryan (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Meredith Fowlie (University of Michigan)
Mar Reguant-Rido (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
[Download Preview]
The Impact of Climate Change on Household Welfare
Ryan Kellogg (University of Michigan)
David Albouy (University of Michigan)
Walter Graf (University of Michigan)
Hendrik Wolff (University of Washington)
[Download Preview]
Profiting from Regulation: An Event Study of the European Carbon Market
Erin Mansur (Yale University)
James Bushnell (University of California-Berkeley)
Howard Chong (University of California-Berkeley)
[Download Preview]
Allocating Emissions Permits: Theory and Evidence
Meredith Fowlie (University of Michigan)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Jeremy Fox (University of Chicago)
Arthur Campbell (Massuchusetts Institute of Technology)
Chris Knittel (University of California-Davis)
Stephen Holland (University of North Carolina-Greensboro)
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A705
AEA
Session: The Role of Markets in Law and Economics (K1)
Presiding: David Abrams (University of Pennsylvania)
Predicting Crime
Justin Wolfers (University of Pennsylvania)
Eric Zitzewitz (Dartmouth College)
Todd Henderson (University of Chicago)
Empirical Evidence of Prosecutorial Charging Manipulation: And What it Tells Us About What Prosecutors are Trying to Do
JJ Prescott (University of Michigan)
Building Criminal Capital vs Specific Deterrence: The Effect of Incarceration Length on Recidivism
David S Abrams (University of Pennsylvania)
Discussants:
Paige Marta Skiba (Vanderbilt University)
Jeremy Tobacman (University of Pennsylvania and NBER)
Emily Owens (Cornell University)
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A703
AEA
Session: Sufficient Statistics for Policy Evaluation: A Forum on Combining Structural and Quasi-Experimental Methods (C5)
Presiding: Lawrence Katz (Harvard University)
Sufficient Statistics for Welfare Analysis:A Bridge Between Structural and Reduced-Form Methods
Raj Chetty (University of California-Berkeley)
[Download Preview]
Estimating Welfare in Insurance Markets Using Variation in Prices
Liran Einav (Stanford University)
Amy Finkelstein (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Mark R. Cullen (Yale University School of Medicine)
[Download Preview]
Slutsky Meets Marschak: First-Order Identification of Multi-Product Production
Eric Glen Weyl (Harvard University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Ariel Pakes (Harvard University)
James J. Heckman (University of Chicago)
Jonathan Gruber (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A702
AEA
Session: Migrants and Immigrants: Impact, Behavior and Economic Outcomes (J6)
Presiding: Ruth Uwaifo Oyelere (Georgia Institute of Technology)
The Intergenerational Effects of Paternal Migration on Schooling: What Can We Learn from Children's Time Allocations?
Francisca Antman (University of Colorado-Boulder)
[Download Preview]
Migrant Remittances and Household Labor Supply in the Post-Conflict Tajikistan
Olga Shemyakina (Georgia Instiute of Technology)
Patricia Justino (Institute of Development Studies)
[Download Preview]
Explaining the Generational Gap of Migrant Households
Salvador Contreras (University of Texas-Pan American)
[Download Preview]
Welfare Usage in the U.S. Does immigrant birthplace and Immigration Status Matter?
Maharouf Oyolola (University of Vermont)
Ruth Uwaifo (Georgia Institute of Technology)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
John Giles (Michigan State University)
Chung Yu Ho (Georgia Institute of Technology)
Luisa Blanco (Pepperdine University)
Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes (San Diego State University )
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International C
AEA
Session: Determinants of Educational Success of Young Children (I2)
Presiding: David Mustard (University of Georgia)
Competitive Effects of Means Tested School Vouchers
David Figlio (Northwestern University and NBER)
Cassandra Hart (Northwestern University)
Molly Metzger (Northwestern University)
Do Non-cognitive Skills Explain the Gender Gap in Educational Achievement?
Christopher M. Cornwell (University of Georgia)
David B. Mustard (University of Georgia)
Jessica Van Parys (University of Georgia)
[Download Preview]
Information Asymmetry and Equilibrium Monitoring in Education
Dennis Epple (Carnegie Mellon University)
Maria Ferreyra (Carnegie Mellon University)
Brett R. Gordon (Columbia University)
[Download Preview]
What a Difference a Day Makes: Estimating Daily Learning Gains During Kindergarten and First Grade Using a Natural Experiment
Maria D. Fitzpatrick (Stanford University)
Sarah Hastedt ()
Discussants:
Rajashri Chakrabarti (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)
Sarah E. Turner (University of Virginia)
Christopher M. Cornwell (University of Georgia)
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M304
AEA
Session: Trade and the Internal Organization of Firms (F2)
Presiding: Stephen Redding (London School of Economics)
Profiting from Government Stakes in a Command Economy: Evidence from Chinese Asset Sales
Charles Calomiris (Columbia Graduate School of Business)
Ray Fisman (Columbia Graduate School of Business)
Yongxiang Wang (Columbia Graduate School of Business)
The Organization of Firms Across Countries
Nicholas Bloom (Stanford University)
Raffaella Sadun (London School of Economics)
John Van Reenen (London School of Economics)
[Download Preview]
Outsourcing Professional Services and Wage Inequality: Theory and Evidence
Chiara Criscuolo (London School of Economics)
Luis Garicano (London School of Economics)
Intra-firm Trade and Product Contractability
Andrew B. Bernard (Dartmouth College)
J. Bradford Jensen (Georgetown University)
Stephen J. Redding (London School of Economics)
Peter K. Schott (Yale University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Kathryn Shaw (Stanford University)
Bob Gibbons (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Paul Oyer (Stanford University)
Keith Head (University of British Columbia)
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A701
AEA
Session: Impacts of Gender Differences in Risk Aversion (00)
Presiding: Nancy Jianakoplos (Colorado State University)
Female Hires and the Success of Start-up Firms
Andrea Weber (RWI Essen)
Christine Zulehner (University of Vienna)
[Download Preview]
Portfolio Choice and Risk Attitudes: A Household Bargaining Approach
Stephen Lich-Tyler (University of North Carolina)
Tansel Yilmazer (University of Missouri)
Gender Differences in Wealth at Retirement
Urvi Neelakantan (University of Illinois-Urbana Champaign)
Yunhee Chang (University of Mississippi)
Discussants:
Mary Ann Feldman (University of North Carolina)
Robert Pollack (Washington University-St. Louis)
Olivia Mitchell (University of Pennsylvania)
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M302
AEA
Session: Access to Clean Water in Developing Countries (O1)
Presiding: A. Mushfiq Mobarak (Yale University)
Making Water Safe: Price, Persuasion, Peers, Promoters, or Product Design?
Michael Kremer (Harvard University)
Edward Miguel (University of California-Berkeley)
Sendhil Mullainathan (Harvard University)
Clair Null (Emory University)
Alix Peterson Zwane (Google.org)
Negotiation over Water Quality: Evidence from Brazilian Water Basin Committees
Molly Lipscomb (University of Notre Dame)
A. Mushfiq Mobarak (Yale University)
Reality Versus Propaganda in the Formation of Beliefs about Privatization
Rafael Di Tella (Harvard School of Business)
Sebastian Galiani (Washington University-St. Louis)
Ernest Schargrodsky (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella)
[Download Preview]
Willingness to Pay for Clean Water: Evidence from Field Experiments in Northern Ghana.
James Berry (Cornell University)
Greg Fischer (London School of Economics)
Raymond Guiteras (University of Maryland)
Discussants:
David Atkin (Princeton University)
Rick Hornbeck (Harvard University)
Sheila Olmstead (Yale University)
Jenny Aker (Tufts University)
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M104
AEA
Session: Competition and Market Structure (L1)
Presiding: Fiona Scott Morton (Yale University)
"One Discriminatory Rent" or "Double Jeopardy": Multi-component Negotiation for New Car Purchases
Meghan Busse (Northwestern University)
[Download Preview]
Entry and Exit in the Market for Real Estate Agents
Panle Jia (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Revisiting the Income Effect: Gasoline Prices and Grocery Purchases
Justine Hastings (Yale University)
Expanding Choice In Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance: Who Gains and Why
Leemore Dafny (Northwestern University)
Kate Ho (Columbia University)
Mauricio Varela (Northwestern University)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M102
AEA
Session: Dissertation Session (00)
Presiding: Ngina Chiteji (Skidmore College)
Housing Prices, Race, and Demographic Change
Marcus D. Casey (University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign)
Family Structure and Stability Effects on Child Cognitive Performance
Terry-Ann Craigie (Princeton University)
[Download Preview]
Intertia and Overwithholding: Explaining the Prevalence of Income Tax Refunds
Damon Jones (Stanford University)
[Download Preview]
The Economic Impact of Microcredit on Poor Households: A Study of Flagship Programs in Bangladesh
Vange Mariet Ocasio (Colorado State University)
Discussants:
Marie Mora (University of Texas-Pan American)
Kerwin Charles (University of Chicago )
Mark Hugo Lopez (Pew Hispanic Center)
Sue Stockly (Eastern New Mexico University)
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M101
AEA
Session: Demographic and Family Economics (D1)
Presiding: David Frisvold (Emory University)
Altruistic and Exchange Motives in Education Investment on Children: Evidence from Pension Reform in Urban China
Ren Mu (Texas A&M University)
[Download Preview]
Cheaper Child Care, More Children
Eva Mork (IFAU & IZA)
Helena Svaleryd (IFN)
Anna Sjogren (IFAU & IFN)
[Download Preview]
Transfers and Development – Easy Come, Easy Go?
Luc Christiaensen (United Nations University)
Lei Pan (Wageningen University)
[Download Preview]
Booms, Busts, and Divorce
Judith K. Hellerstein (University of Maryland)
Melinda Morrill (North Carolina State University)
[Download Preview]
WHY ARE MORE BOYS BORN DURING WAR? EVIDENCE FROM GERMANY AT MID CENTRUY
Michael Kvasnicka (RWI Essen)
[Download Preview]
Social Norms and Productivity
Ethan Cohen-Cole (Federal Reserve Bank-Boston)
Alexandre Mas (University of California-Berkeley)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon D
AEA
Session: Financial Crises and Government Policy (G1)
Presiding: Itay Goldstein (University of Pennsylvania)
Fear of Fire Sales and the Credit Freeze
Douglas Diamond (University of Chicago)
Raghuram Rajan (University of Chicago)
[Download Preview]
Contingent Debt Currency
Markus Brunnermeier (Princeton University)
Guido Lorenzoni (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Arvind Krishnamurthy (Northwestern University)
Using Market Prices as a Guide for Government Intervention
Philip Bond (University of Pennsylvania)
Itay Goldstein (University of Pennsylvania)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Charles Kahn (University of Illinois)
Christine Parlour (University of California-Berkeley)
Adriano Rampini (Duke University)
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon C
AEA
Session: New Evidence on the Adequacy of Retirement Saving (J1)
Presiding: Erik Hurst (University of Chicago)
Are All Americans Saving 'Optimally' for Retirement?
John Karl Scholz (University of Wisconsin)
William Gale (Brookings Institution)
Ananth Seshadri (University of Wisconsin)
[Download Preview]
Economic Preparation for Retirement: Then and Now
Michael Hurd (RAND Corporation)
Susann Rohwedder (RAND Corporation)
What Happens to Consumption When Children Fly the Coop? A Test of the Permanent Income Hypothesis
Norma Coe (Boston College)
[Download Preview]
Tapping Assets in Retirement: Which Assets, How, and When?
James Poterba (Massachusetts Institute of Technology & NBER)
Steven Venti (Dartmouth College)
David Wise (Harvard University and NBER)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Janice Eberly (Northwestern University )
Erik Hurst (University of Chicago)
Gary Engelhardt (Syracuse University)
Sarah Holden (Investment Company Institute)
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon A
AEA
Session: Performance-Based Financial Incentives in Education (I2)
Presiding: Steven Levitt (University of Chicago)
The Effect of Financial Incentives on High School Achievement: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment
Steven Levitt (University of Chicago)
John List (University of Chicago)
Sally Sadoff (University of Chicago)
Paying to Learn: The Effect of Financial Incentives on Elementary School Test Scores
Eric Bettinger (Stanford University)
Incentives in Education: Evidence from Randomized Experiments in Urban School Districts
Roland Fryer (Harvard University)
Discussants:
Brian Jacob (University of Michigan)
Susanna Loeb (Stanford University)
Steven Rivkin (Amherst College)
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, L508
AEA
Session: Education (I2)
Presiding: Scott Carrell (University of California-Davis)
Magnet Schools and Student Achievement: Evidence from a Randomized Natural Experiment in China
Hongliang Zhang (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
[Download Preview]
Examining the Effect of No Child Left Behind (NCLB) on Public School Incentives and Response: Evidence from Wisconsin
Rajashri Chakrabarti (Federal Reserve Bank-New York)
Joydeep Roy (EPI & Georgetown University)
How Responsive is Higher Education? The Linkages between Higher Education and the Labor Market
Daniel Lee Hicks (University of California-Berkeley)
Ashok Deo Bardhan (University of California-Berkeley)
Dwight M. Jaffee (University of California-Berkeley)
[Download Preview]
The Influence of Peers on Student Proficiency in Elementary School
Marcus A. Winters (Manhattan Institute for Policy Research)
[Download Preview]
A Framework for the Analysis of Dynamic Treatment Effects: Grade Retention and Test Scores
Salvador Navarro (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
Jane Cooley (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
Yuya Takahashi (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
Do Female Faculty Influence Female Students' Choice of College Major, and Why?
Basit Zafar (Federal Reserve Bank-New York)
Yi Qian (Northwestern University)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Atrium Ballroom B
AEA
Session: Lectures in Macroeconomics (E0)
Presiding: Alan Blinder (Princeton University)
Disentangling the Channels of the 2008-2009 Recession
James H. Stock (Harvard University)
Mark W. Watson (Princeton University)
A Life Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences
Sagiri Kitao (University of Southern California)
Lars Ljungqvist (Stockholm School of Economics)
Thomas J. Sargent (New York University)
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A708
AEA
Session: International Finance (F3)
Presiding: Juergen von Hagen (University of Bonn)
Export Responses to Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations
Mariana Colacelli (Columbia University)
[Download Preview]
Foreign Lenders in Emerging Economies
Raoul Minetti (Michigan State University)
Matteo Iacoviello (Boston College)
[Download Preview]
Serial Default and Debt Renegotiation
Tamon Asonuma (Boston University)
[Download Preview]
Accounting for Crises
Venky Nagar (University of Michigan)
Gwen Yu (University of Michigan)
[Download Preview]
Evidence for Relational Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending
Cosmin Liviu Ilut (Duke University)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A706
AEA
Session: Household Economics (G2)
Presiding: Sendhil Mullainathan (Harvard University)
"Can Psychological Aggregation Manipulations Affect Portfolio RiskTaking?"
John Beshears (Harvard University)
James Choi (Yale University)
Brigitte Madrian (Harvard University)
David Laibson (Harvard University)
Do Consumers Choose the Right Credit Contracts?"
Sumit Agarwal (Federal Reserve Bank-Chicago)
Souphala Chomsisengphet (Office of the Comptroller of the Currency)
Chunlin Liu (University of Nevada-Reno)
Nicholas Souleles (University of Pennsylvania)
Twin Picks: Disentangling the Determinants of Risk-Taking in Household Financial
Laurent Calvet (HEC)
Paolo Sodini (Stockholm School of Economics)
[Download Preview]
The Market for Financial Advice: An Audit Study
Sendhil Mullainathan (Harvard University)
Markus Noeth (University of Hamburg)
Antoinette Schoar (Massuchesetts Institute of Technology)
Discussants:
Andrew W. Lo (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Enrichetta Ravina (Columbia University)
Deborah Lucas (Northwestern University)
John Campbell (Harvard University)
Jan. 4, 8:00 am, Hilton Atlanta, Room 207
AEA/KAEA
Session: Global Financial Crisis, Regional Integration and Policy Responses in East Asia (F3)
Presiding: Yoonbai Kim (University of Kentucky)
The Global Crisis and Capital Flows to Emerging Markets
Phillip R. Lane, III (Trinity College Dublin and CEPR )
Comparison of Asian Crisis 1997-98 and Global Crisis of 2008-09
Takatoshi Ito (Tokyo University)
Capital Inflows and Liquidity Crunch during the 2007-09 Global Economic Crisis
Shang-Jin Wei (Columbia University)
Hui Tong (International Monetary Fund )
[Download Preview]
Surfing the Waves of Globalization: Asia and Financial Globalization in the Context of the Trilemma
Menzie Chinn (University of Wisconsin)
Joshua Aizenman (University of California-Santa Cruz)
Hiro Ito (Portland State University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Hui Tong (International Monetary Fund)
Woochan Kim (KDI School of Public Policy & Management)
Kwanho Shin (Korea University)
Cheol S. Eun (Georgia Tech)
Hyun Song Shin (Princeton University)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Atrium Ballroom A
AEA
Session: New Directions in the Economic Analysis of Human Capital (G1, I1, I2)
Presiding: Gary Becker (University of Chicago)
Inputs and Impacts in Charter Schools
Atila Abdulkadiroglu (Duke University)
Joshua Angrist (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Susan Dynarski (University of Michigan)
Thomas Kane (Harvard University)
Parag A. Pathak (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
The Market for College Graduates and the Worldwide Boom in Higher Education of Women
Gary S. Becker (University of Chicago)
Kevin M. Murphy (University of Chicago)
William Hubbard (University of Chicago)
[Download Preview]
The Role of Human Capital in Imperfectly Informed Financial Markets
Isaac Ehrlich (State University of New York-Buffalo)
Jong Kook Shin (State University of New York-Buffalo)
Education and Health
James J. Heckman (University of Chicago)
Gabriella Conti (University of Chicago)
Discussants:
Eric Bettinger (Stanford University)
Derek Neal (University of Chicago)
Chetan Subramanian (State University of New York-Buffalo)
Edward Vytlacil (Yale University)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M302
AEA
Session: International Capital Flows, Global Imbalances, and Crises (F3)
Presiding: Guillermo Calvo (Columbia University)
Global Imbalances and Global Depressions
Luis Catao (Inter-American Development Bank)
Philip Lane (Trinity College)
Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti (International Monetary Fund)
Two Hundred Years of Financial Integration: Latin America Since Independence
Graciela Laura Kaminsky (George Washington University)
[Download Preview]
Financial Crises and International Portfolio Dynamics
Fernando Broner (CREI and Universitat Pompeu Fabra)
Tatiana Didier (World Bank)
Aitor Erce (Banco de Espana)
Sergio Schmukler (World Bank)
[Download Preview]
How Do Recoveries Follow Recessions?
Stijn Claessens (International Monetary Fund)
Ayhan Kose (International Monetary Fund)
Marco Terrones (International Monetary Fund)
Discussants:
Carmen Reinhart (University of Maryland)
Carlos Vegh (University of Maryland)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A705
AEA
Session: Cognitive Abilities and Financial Decision Making (G2)
Presiding: David Laibson (Harvard University)
Cognitive Abilities and Household Financial Decision Making
Sumit Agarwal (Federal Reserve Bank-Chicago)
Bhashkar Mazumder (Federal Reserve Bank-Chicago)
Information Disclosure, Cognitive Biases and Payday Borrowing
Marianne Bertrand (University of Chicago)
Adair Morse (University of Chicago)
[Download Preview]
IQ and Stock Market Participation
Juhani Linnainmaa (University of Chicago)
Mark Grinblatt (University of California-Los Angeles)
Matti Keloharju (Helsinki School of Economics)
[Download Preview]
Households @ Risk: A Cross-Country Study of Household Financial Risk
Anna Maria Lusardi (Dartmouth College)
Peter Tufano (Harvard University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Keith Chen (Yale University)
James Choi (Yale University)
Annette Vissing-Jorgensen (Northwestern University)
Sumit Agarwal (Federal Reserve Bank-Chicago)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A703
AEA
Session: Innovative Teaching Strategies for Teaching Undergraduate Economics (00)
Presiding: Benjamin Friedman (Harvard University)
Findings from a Teaching Innovations Program for Economics Faculty
William B. Walstad (University of Nebraska-Lincoln)
Developing Teacher Expertise for Economists through a Workshop Experience
Michael J. Salemi (University of North Carolina)
[Download Preview]
Online Faculty Instruction to Improve Interactive Teaching of Economics
Mark H. Maier (Glendale Community College)
[Download Preview]
Advancing the Scholarship of Teaching and Learning in Economics
KimMarie McGoldrick (University of Richmond)
Discussants:
Robert Rebelein (Vassar College)
Kirsten Madden (Millersville University)
Tisha Emerson (Baylor University)
Sue K. Stockly (Eastern New Mexico University)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A702
AEA
Session: Economics of Security (F5)
Presiding: Tilman Brueck (German Institute for Economic Research and Humboldt University Berlin)
Corporate Demand for Insurance: An Empirical Analysis of the U.S. Market for Catastrophe and Non-Catastrophe Risks
Erwann Michel-Kerjan (University of Pennsylvania)
Paul Raschky (University of Melbourne, Australia)
Howard Kunreuther (University of Pennsylvania)
[Download Preview]
Does Terrorism Work?
Eric Gould (Hebrew University)
Esteban Klor (Hebrew University)
The Economics of Terrorism and Counter-Terrorism: A Survey
Tilman Brueck (DIW Berlin)
Friedrich Schneider (University of Linz, Austria)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Claude Berrebi (RAND Corporation)
Esteban Klor (Hebrew University)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International C
AEA
Session: New Issues in the Regulation of Biotech: Biosimilars and Personalized Medicine (L5) (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: Fiona Scott Morton (Yale University)
Scott Stern, Northwestern University
Henry Grabowski, Duke University
Adrian Towse, United Kingdom Office of Health Economics
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International B
AEA
Session: The Real Effects of the 2007-2008 Financial Crisis (G3)
Presiding: Kalina Manova (Stanford University)
Off the Cliff and Back? Credit Conditions and International Trade During the Global Financial Crisis
Kalina Manova (Stanford University)
Davin Chor (Singapore Management University)
[Download Preview]
Firm Operating and Financial Responses to a Financial Crisis
James Costantini (INSEAD)
[Download Preview]
Corporate Debt and the Real Effects of the 2007 Credit Crisis
Heitor Almeida (University of Illinois)
Murillo Campello (University of Illinois)
Bruno Laranjeira (University of Illinois)
Scott Weisbenner (University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign)
[Download Preview]
The Spread of Liquidity Crunch in 2008-09: The Role of Exposure to Financial Globalization
Hui Tong (International Monetary Fund)
Shang-Jin Wei (Columbia University)
Discussants:
Andrei Levchenko (University of Michigan)
Luc Laeven (International Monetary Fund)
Fritz Foley (Harvard Business School)
Bo Becker (Harvard Business School)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M304
AEA
Session: Economics and Human Biology in Development (O1)
Presiding: Fidel Perez-Sebastian (University of Alicante)
The 'Out of Africa' Hypothesis, Human Genetic Diversity, and Comparative Economic Development
Quamrul Ashraf (Brown University)
Oded Galor (Brown University)
A 'Bioeconomic' Foundation of the Malthusian Equilibrium: Body Size and Population Size in the Long Run
Carl-Johan Dalgaard (University of Copenhaguen)
Holger Strulik (University of Hannover)
A Bioeconomic View of the Neolithic Transition to Agriculture
Arthur Robson (Simon Fraser University)
[Download Preview]
The Mortality and Morbidity Transitions in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from Adult Heights
David Canning (Harvard University)
Yoko Akachi (World Health Organization)
[Download Preview]
Dynamic Formation of Directed Firm Citation Network
Jie Cai (University of British Columbia)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Douglas Gollin (Williams College)
Omer Moav (Royal Holloway University of London & Hebrew University)
Luis Rayo (University of Chicago)
Richard Steckel (Ohio State University)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A707
AEA
Session: Institutions and Development (O1)
Presiding: Christopher Udry (Yale University)
Institutions, Factor Prices and Taxation: Virtues of Strong States?
Daron Acemoglu (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
[Download Preview]
Coping with Political Instability: Micro Evidence from Kenya's 2007 Election Crisis
Pascaline Dupas (University of California-Los Angeles)
Jonathan Robinson (University of California-Santa Cruz)
Do Traditional Institutions Constrain Female Entrepreneurship? A Field Experiment on Business Training in India
Rohini Pande (Harvard University)
Erica Field (Harvard University)
Seema Jayachandran (Stanford University)
[Download Preview]
Creating Property Rights: Land Banks in Ghana
Christopher Udry (Yale University)
Ernest Aryeetey (University of Ghana)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A701
AEA
Session: Pay, Promotion, and Stability: Women in the Labor Market (00)
Presiding: Francine Blau (Cornell University)
High-Tech Industries and the Gender Wage Gap: A Test of the Skill-Biased Polarization Hypothesis
Elsie Echeverri-Carroll (University of Texas-Austin)
Sofia G. Ayala (University of Texas-Austin)
Stop the Clock Policies and Career Success in Academia
Colleen Flaherty Manchester (University of Minnesota)
Lisa M. Leslie (University of Minnesota)
Amit Kramer (University of Minnesota)
Are There Gender Differences in the Job Mobility Patterns of Academic Economists?
Christina E. Hilmer (San Diego State University)
Michael J. Hilmer (San Diego State University)
Do Men Enjoy Greater Job Stability Thanks to Women? Gender Differences in Establishments' Employment Practices
Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes (San Diego State University)
Miguel A. Malo (University of Salamanca)
Discussants:
Mary Daly (Federal Reserve Bank-San Francisco)
Donna Ginther (University of Kansas)
Debra Barbezat (Colby College)
John Haltiwanger (University of Maryland)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M104
AEA
Session: Field Experiment in Firms (O1)
Presiding: John Van Reenen (London School of Economics)
Wage Subsidies for Microenterprises
David McKenzie (World Bank)
Suresh de Mel (University of Peradeniya)
Chris Woodruff (University of California-San Diego)
[Download Preview]
Management as Technology: Evidence from Medium and Large Indian Firms
Bloom Nicholas (Stanford University)
Benn Eifert (University of California-Berkeley)
Aprajit Mahajan (Stanford University)
David McKenzie (World Bank)
John Roberts (Stanford University)
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Self-control and the Development of Work Arrangements
Supreet Kaur (Harvard University)
Michael Kremer (Harvard University)
Sendhil Mullainathan (Harvard University)
[Download Preview]
Returns to Entrepreneurship Mentoring for Small and Medium Enterprises in Mexico
Miriam Bruhn (World Bank)
Dean Karlan (Yale University)
Antoinette Schoar (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M101
AEA
Session: Financial Markets 2 (G1)
Presiding: Karlyn Mitchell (North Carolina State University)
Collateral and Capital Structure
Adriano A. Rampini (Duke University)
S. Viswanathan (Duke University)
[Download Preview]
Optimal Securitization with Moral Hazard
Barney Barney Hartman-Glaser (University of California-Berkeley)
Tomasz Piskorski (Columbia University)
Alexei Tchistyi (University of California-Berkeley)
[Download Preview]
Washington Meets Wall Street: A Closer Examination of the Presidential Cycle Puzzle
Roman Kraeussl (VU University Amsterdam)
Andre Lucas (VU University Amsterdam)
David Rijsbergen (VU University Amsterdam)
Pieter Jelle van der Sluis (VU University Amsterdam)
Evert Vrugt (APG Asset Management)
[Download Preview]
Betting Markets and Market Efficiency: Evidence from College Football
Michael J. Sinkey (Ohio State University)
Trevon D. Logan (Ohio State University)
[Download Preview]
Capital Adequacy of Hedge Funds and Financial Stability: Theory and Empirical Evidence
Gurdip Bakshi (University of Maryland)
George Panayotov (Georgetown University)
Heterogeneous Background Risks, Portfolio Choice, and Asset Returns:Evidence from Micro-Level Data
Darius Palia (Princeton University & Rutgers University)
Yaxuan Qi (Concordia University)
Yangru Wu (Rutgers University)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon D
AEA
Session: Lectures in Public Finance (H0)
Presiding: Emmanuel Saez (University of California-Berkeley)
Capital Income Taxes with Heterogeneous Discount Rates
Peter Diamond (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Johannes Spinnewijn (London School of Economics)
[Download Preview]
Land Use Regulation as a Barrier to Entry: Evidence from the Texas Lodging Industry
Junichi Suzuki (University of Toronto)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon C
AEA
Session: The Great Inflation (E5)
Presiding: Michael Bordo (Rutgers University)
Falling Behind the Curve: A Positive Analysis of Stop-Start Monetary Policies and the Great Inflation
Andrew T. Levin (Federal Reserve Board)
John B. Taylor (Stanford University)
[Download Preview]
The Supply-Shock Explanation of the Great Stagflation Revisited
Alan S. Blinder (Princeton University)
Jeremy B. Rudd (Federal Reserve Board)
[Download Preview]
Monetary Policy Mistakes and the Evolution of Inflation Expectations
Athanasios Orphanides (Central Bank of Cyprus)
John C. Williams (Federal Reserve Bank-San Francisco)
Opting Out of the Great Inflation: German Monetary Policy after the Break Down of Bretton Woods
Vitor Gaspar (Bureau of European Policy Advisers)
Andreas Beyer (European Central Bank)
Christina Gerberding (Deutsche Bundesbank)
Otmar Issing (Centre for Financial Studies)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Athanasios Orphanides (Central Bank of Cyprus)
Michael D. Bordo (Rutgers University)
John B. Taylor (Stanford University)
Vitor Gaspar (Bureau of European Policy Advisers)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon A
AEA
Session: Revisiting and Rethinking the Business Cycle (E3)
Presiding: James Poterba (Massachusetts Institute of Technology & NBER)
Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring: Real Activity, Inflation, and Interactions
Boragan Aruoba (University of Maryland)
Francis X. Diebold (University of Pennsylvania)
[Download Preview]
Indicators for Dating Business Cycles: Cross-History Selection, Comparisons, Possible Changes
James H. Stock (Harvard University)
Mark W. Watson (Princeton University)
The Business Cycle in a Changing Economic, Financial and Global Setting: Conceptualization, Measurement, Dating
Allen Sinai (Decision Economics, Inc.)
[Download Preview]
Criteria in Defining Business Cycles: Current Practice and Proposed Changes
Robert J. Gordon (Northwestern University)
Discussants:
Marcelle Chauvet (University of California)
Jeremy Piger (University of Oregon)
Martin Feldstein (Harvard University and NBER)
Mark Watson (Princeton University)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, L508
AEA
Session: Measuring Labor and Wage Dynamics with Administrative Data (00)
Presiding: V. Hotz (Duke University)
Measuring Employment Transitions and Mass Layoffs with Administrative Data
Kenneth Couch (University of Connecticut)
Dana Placzek (Connecticut Department of Labor)
Understanding Earnings Instability: A Comparison of Measures Based on Survey and Administrative Reports
Kristin McCue (U.S. Census Bureau)
Sule Selik (University of Houston)
Chinhui Juhn (University of Houston)
Jesse Thompson (University of Houston)
Localized Shocks, Job Displacement and Wages: Evidence from Mexico
Raymond Robertson (Macalester College)
David Kaplan (World Bank)
Xi Luo (Macalester College)
[Download Preview]
Internal and External Job Mobility and Wages: Does It Matter?
Till von Wachter (Columbia University)
Thomass Bauer (RWI Essen)
Stefan Bender (Institute for Employment Research)
Discussants:
Melissa Tartari (Yale University)
David Ribar (University of North Carolina-Greensboro)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Atrium Ballroom B
AEA
Session: Housing (L7) (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: Susan Woodward (Sand Hill Econometrics)
John Quigley, University of California-Berkeley
Paul Willen, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
Robert Shiller, Yale University
Chris Mayer, Columbia University
Karen Pence, Federal Reserve Board
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A708
AEA
Session: Asset Pricing in DSGE Models (G1)
Presiding: Harald Uhlig (University of Chicago)
Asset Prices in Business Cycle Analysis
David Backus (New York University)
Bryan Routledge (Carnegie Mellon University)
Stanley Zin (Carnegie Mellon University)
[Download Preview]
The Bond Premium in a DSGE Model with Long-Run Real and Nominal Risks
Glenn Rudebusch (Federal Reserve Bank-San Francisco)
Eric Swanson (Federal Reserve Bank-San Francisco)
[Download Preview]
A DSGE Model of the Term Structure with Regime Shifts
Gianni Amisano (European Central Bank)
Oreste Tristani (European Central Bank)
[Download Preview]
Easy EZ in DSGE
Harald Uhlig (University of Chicago)
Discussants:
Thomas Tallarini (Federal Reserve Board)
John Campbell (Harvard University)
Federico Ravenna (University of California-Santa Cruz)
Burton Hollifield (Carnegie Mellon University)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A706
AEA
Session: Governance and Incentives at Financial Institutions (G3)
Presiding: Raghuram Rajan (University of Chicago)
The Internal Governance of Firms
Viral V. Acharya (New York University)
Stewart C. Myers (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Raghuram G. Rajan (University of Chicago)
[Download Preview]
Investment Banking Careers
Philip Bond (University of Pennsylvania)
Ulf Axelson (Swedish Institute of Financial Research and London School of Economics)
[Download Preview]
Seeking Alpha: Excess Risk Taking and Competition for Managerial Talent
Viral V. Acharya (New York University)
Marco Pagano (University of Naples)
Paolo Volpin (London Business School)
Discussants:
Patrick Bolton (Columbia University)
Paul Oyer (Stanford University)
Ulf Axelson (Swedish Institute of Financial Research and London School of Economics)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Hilton Atlanta, Crystal A&F
AEA/ACES
Session: The Great Transformation after Twenty Years: What Is Left to be Done? (P2) (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: John Bonin (Wesleyan University)
Erik Berglof, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development
Sergei Guriev, New Economics School, Russia
Justin Lin, World Bank
Peter Murrell, University of Maryland
Jan Svejnar, University of Michigan and CERGEI-EI
Joseph Stiglitz, Columbia University
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Hilton Atlanta, Room 305
AEA/AFE
Session: Incentives and the Financial Crisis (G3)
Presiding: Lemma Senbet, ( University of Maryland)
Bank CEO Incentives and the Credit Crisis
Ruediger Fahlenbrach (Ohio State University)
Rene Stulz (Ohio State University)
[Download Preview]
The Seeds of a Crisis: A Theory of Bank Liquidity and Risk-Taking over the Business Cycle
Viral Acharya (New York University)
Hassan Naqvi (National University of Singapore)
[Download Preview]
The Evolution of the Market for Finance Executives since the 1980s: Evidence and Implications for the 2007 US Financial Crisis.
Antonio Falato ( Federal Reserve Board)
Dalida Kadyrzhanova ( University of Maryland)
MBS Ratings and the Mortgage Credit Boom
Adam Ashcraft (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham (Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Harvard University)
James. Vickery (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)
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Discussants:
Holger Mueller (New York University)
Anjan Thakor (Washington University)
Thomas Philippon (New York University)
Effi Benmelech (Harvard University)
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Hilton Atlanta, Room 301
AEA/IBEFA
Session: The Government's Response to the Financial Crisis: Evaluation and Next Steps (G2) (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: Dennis Lockhart (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta)
Ricardo Caballero, MIT Department of EconomicsPublic-Private Partnerships for Liquidity Provision
Markus Brunnermeier, Princeton UniversityThe Fundamental Principles of Financial Regulation
Randy Kroszner, University of ChicagoThe Response of the Federal Reserve to the Recent Banking and Financial Crisis
Jeremy C. Stein, Harvard UniversityPolicy Making during a Financial Crisis
Diana Hancock, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemAugmenting Capital Regulation to Limit Future Financial Crises
Wayne Passmore, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemAugmenting Capital Regulation to Limit Future Financial Crises
Jan. 4, 10:15 am, Hilton Atlanta, Room 212
AEA/IHEA
Session: Determinants of Child Health (I1)
Presiding: Jonathan Gruber (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Childhood Nutritional Status in the US and the Relative Price of Food
Jay Bhattacharya (Stanford University)
Childhood Endowments, Parental Investments and the Developent of Human Capital: Evidence from Siblings
Anna Aizer (Brown University and NBER)
The Medium Term Schooling Effects of Low Birth Weight: Evidence from Siblings and Twins
Jason M. Fletcher (Yale University )
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Discussants:
Jody L. Sindelar (Yale University and NBER)
Angela R. Fertig (University of Georgia)
Kasey S. Buckles (University of Notre Dame)
Jan. 4, 12:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Imperial Ballroom
AEA
Session: Nobel Laureate Luncheon Honoring Paul Krugman
Presiding: Robert Hall (Stanford University)
Avinash Dixit, Princeton University
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Atrium Ballroom A
AEA
Session: Paul Samuelson Memorial Session (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: Robert E. Hall (Stanford University)
Robert Solow, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Kenneth Arrow, Stanford University (remarks read by Bob Hall)
Peter Diamond, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Avinash Dixit, Princeton University
Stanley Fischer, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (remarks read by Bob Hall)
Robert Merton, Harvard University
James Poterba, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M104
AEA
Session: Fluctuations 3 (E3)
Presiding: David Parsley (Vanderbilt University)
Nominal Shocks and Long-Term Contracts
Boyan Jovanovic (New York University)
[Download Preview]
Firm Entry, Firm Heterogeneity, and Monetary Policy
Henning Weber (European University Institute)
Loss Aversion and Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism
Emiliano Santoro (University of Copenhagen)
Damjan Pfajfar (University of Tilburg)
Ivan Petrella (University of Cambridge)
Edouardo Gaffeo (University of Trento)
[Download Preview]
The Role of Second Menu Costs: Two-Product Firms and the Real Effects of Large Nominal Shocks
Peter Karadi (New York University)
Adam Reiff (National Bank of Hungary)
[Download Preview]
All you need is loan. The role of credit constraints on the cleansing effect of recessions
Francesco Pappada (Paris School of Economics)
Sophie Osotimehin (CREST, Paris School of Economics)
[Download Preview]
Convenient Prices and Price Rigidity: Cross-Sectional Evidence
Edward Knotek II (Federal Reserve Bank-Kansas City)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A705
AEA
Session: Measuring Cognition and Linking it to Economic Outcomes (00)
Presiding: David Laibson (Harvard University)
Stock Market Crash and Expectations of American Households
Peter Hudomiet (University of Michigan)
Gabor Kezdi (Central European University)
Robert J. Willis (University of Michigan)
[Download Preview]
Financial Literacy and Financial Sophistication Among Older Households
Annamaria Lusardi (Dartmouth College)
Olivia S. Mitchell (University of Pennsylvania)
[Download Preview]
Cognition, Medicare Spending and Mortality Among the Elderly
Helen Levy (University of Michigan)
Discussants:
Stephen Zeldes (Columbia University)
Brigitte Madrian (Harvard University)
David Howard (Emory University)
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A704
AEA
Session: Self Control (D6)
Presiding: George Akerlof (University of California-Berkeley)
New Commitment Devices
Dean Karlan (Yale University)
Jonathan Zinman (Dartmouth College)
Borrowing to Save: Perspectives from Portfolios of the Poor
Jonathan Morduch (New York University)
[Download Preview]
Bulow Rogoff Revisted
Sendhil Mullainathan (Harvard University)
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A703
AEA
Session: Opting In or Out: Trends in the Labor Attachment of High Skilled Women (J1)
Presiding: Claudia Goldin (Harvard University)
The Opt-In Revolution: Contraception, Women's Labor Supply and the Gender Gap in Wages
Martha Bailey (University of Michigan)
Brad Herbshein (University of Michigan)
Amalia Miller (University of Virginia)
[Download Preview]
Opting For Families: Recent Trends in the Fertility of Highly Educated Women
Qingyan Shang (State University of New York-Buffalo)
Bruce A. Weinberg (Ohio State University)
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A Dynamic Analysis of Married Women's Decision to Opt-out of and Re-Enter to the Labor Market Surrounding Childbirth
Heather Antecol (Claremont McKenna College)
Serkan Ozbeklik (Claremont McKenna College)
Dynamics of the Gender Gap for Young Professionals in the Financial and Corporate Sectors
Marianne Bertrand (University of Chicago)
Claudia Goldin (Harvard University)
Lawrence Katz (Harvard University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Kasey Buckles (Notre Dame University)
Jane Leber Herr (University of Chicago)
Christopher Ruhm (University of North Carolina-Greensboro)
Claudia Olivetti (Boston University)
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A702
AEA
Session: Consumption and Credit (D1)
Presiding: Sumit Agarwal (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago)
The Response of Consumer Spending to Rebates: Evidence from Recent Tax Cuts
David Johnson (U.S. Census Bureau)
jonathan parker (Northwestern University)
nicholas souleles (University of Pennsylvania )
The Effect of Interest Rate on Household Consumption: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in India
Mudit Kapoor (Indian School of Business)
Shamika Ravi (Indian School of Business)
[Download Preview]
The Consumption Response of ARM Borrowers
Kathleen Johnson (Federal Reserve Board)
Geng Li (Federal Reserve Board)
Paying Off Plastic: A Field Experiment on the Effects of Framing Debt Repayment Behavior
Marieke Bos (Stockholm University)
Discussants:
Jeff Campbell (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago)
Jeremy Tobacman (University of Pennsylvania and NBER)
Brent Ambrose (Pennsylvania State University)
Anna Paulson (Federal Reserve Bank-Chicago)
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International C
AEA
Session: Implicit Measurement of Teacher Quality (I2)
Presiding: Richard Murnane (Harvard University)
Assessing the Potential of Using Value-Added Estimates of Teacher Job Performance for Making Tenure Decisions
Dan Goldhaber (University of Washington)
Michael Hansen (University of Washington)
[Download Preview]
Using Student Performance Data to Identify Effective Classroom Practices
John Tyler (Brown University)
Thomas Kane (Harvard University)
[Download Preview]
Subjective and Objective Measures of Teacher Effectiveness
Jonah Rockoff (Columbia University)
Cecilia Speroni (Columbia University)
[Download Preview]
Generalizations About Using Value-Added Measures of Teacher Quality
Eric Hanushek (Stanford University)
Steven Rivkin (Amherst College)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
David Figlio (Northwestern University)
Brian Jacob (University of Michigan)
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M304
AEA
Session: Delegated Portfolio Management and Asset Prices (G1)
Presiding: Ron Kaniel (Duke University)
Institutional Flows and Asset Prices
Dimitri Vayanos (London School of Economics)
Paul Woolley (London School of Economics)
[Download Preview]
Dynamic Trading with Predictable Returns and Transaction Cost
Nicolae Garleanu (University of California-Berkeley)
Lasse Heje Pedersen (New York University)
Multi-Market Delegated Asset Management
Zhiguo He (University of Chicago)
Wei Xiong (Princeton University)
The Delegated Lucas-Tree
Ron Kaniel (Duke University)
Peter Kondor (Central European University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Lasse Heje Pedersen (New York University)
Francis Longstaff (University of California-Los Angeles)
William Fuchs (University of California-Berkeley)
Leonid Kogan (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A701
AEA
Session: The Impacts of Immigration on Natives: New Approaches (J1)
Presiding: Abigail Wozniak (University of Notre Dame)
Immigration in American Public Schools
Elizabeth Cascio (Dartmouth College)
Ethan Lewis (Dartmouth College)
The Effect of Immigration on Productivity: Evidence from US States
Giovanni Peri (University of California-Davis)
Francesco D'Amuri (Bank of Italy, ISER & University of Essex)
Gianmarco Ottaviano (Bocconi University, FEEM, & CEPR)
[Download Preview]
Timing is Everything: Immigrant and Native Migration Dynamics in the U.S.
Abigail Wozniak (University of Notre Dame)
Thomas Murray (University of Notre Dame)
The Dynamics of Immigration and Wages
Silvia Barcellos (Princeton University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Tara Watson (Williams College)
Elizabeth Cascio (Dartmouth College)
Christopher L. Smith (Federal Reserve Board)
Steven Lugauer (University of Notre Dame)
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A601
AEA
Session: Poster Session: Active Learning Strategies for the Undergraduate Economics Curriculum (00)
Presiding: Wendy Stock (Montana State University)
Classroom Experiments Improve Learning in Calculus-Based Micro Theory Courses
Sheryl Ball (Virginia Polytechnic Institute)
Catherine Eckel (University of Texas-Dallas)
Economics on the Move
Daniel Barkley (California State University)
Teaching Strategies for Corporate Finance
Barbara Beliveau (St. Mary's College of Maryland)
Thomas Botzman (St. Mary's College of Maryland)
[Download Preview]
Using Appropriate Visual Aids in Teaching Economics
Bruce Brown (California State Polytechnic University)
Undergraduate Teaching Tools for Computable General Equilibrium Models
Mary Burfisher (U.S. Naval Academy)
Karen Thierfelder (U.S. Naval Academy)
[Download Preview]
Assessing the Effectiveness of "Writing to Learn" in Introductory Economics
David Carpenter (Colorado State University)
Karen Gebhardt (Colorado State University)
Robert Kling (Colorado State University)
Fusion Teaching - Utilizing Course Management Technology to Deliver a Multimodal Pedagogy
Howard Cochran (Belmont University)
Marieta Velikova (Belmont University)
[Download Preview]
Polling the Audience: Using Opinion Surveys to Improve Teaching
Lee Coppock (University of Virginia)
The Taxman Can be Indirect
Marilyn Cottrell (Brock University)
Computer Animations and Demonstrations for Teaching Economics
Thomas Creahan (Morehead State University)
A Classroom Experiment on Status Goods and Consumer Choice
Damian Damianov (University of Texas-Pan American)
[Download Preview]
Television for Economists
Linda S. Ghent (Eastern Illinois University)
G. Dirk Mateer (Pennsylvania State University)
Misty Stone (Pennsylvania State University)
Active Learning: Using Excel Based Interactive Graphs to Teach Incidence of Excise Tax and Deadweight Loss in a Principles Class
Sarah Ghosh (University of Scranton)
Satyajit Ghosh (University of Scranton)
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Active Learning in Economics via Real World Investigations
Scott Gilbert (Southern Illinois University)
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Team-Based Learning in the Economics Classroom
William Goffe (State University of New York-Oswego)
[Download Preview]
Teaching Macroeconomics by Induction
C. Nicholas Gomersall (Luther College)
A Classroom Economic Experiment: How to Estimate the Unemployment Rate
Inhyuck "Steve" Ha (Western Carolina University)
Jessica Hollars (Western Carolina University)
[Download Preview]
Forecasting Student Success in a Principles of Economics Online Class
Carsten Lange (California State Polytechnic University)
The Relationship Between Music and Student Enjoyment of Economics Class
Simon Medcalfe (Augusta State University)
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Demonstrations in Large-Enrollment Principles Courses
Martha Olney (University of California-Berkeley)
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Context-Rich Problems in Public Finance: Reverse Engineering an Upper-Level Policy Course
Brian Peterson (Central College)
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Teaching Econometrics as Active Learning
Geetha Rajaram (Whittier College)
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Being Aware of Health Care: Using Cooperative Learning to Synthesize and Communicate U.S. Health Care Reform Issues
Jennifer Rhoads (University of Illinois-Chicago)
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Context-rich Problems in Principles of Microeconomics and Intermediate Microeconomics
Rochelle Ruffer (Nazareth College)
The Role of Homework on Learning Outcomes in the Classroom: Evidence from a Field Experiment
Nicholas Rupp (East Carolina University)
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Teaching Real and Nominal Gross Domestic Product
Brian Sloboda (U.S. Postal Service)
A Game Approach to Learning and Retaining Microeconomics
Melissa Wiseman (Houston Baptist University)
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Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A707
AEA
Session: Economic Growth and Open-Economy Macroeconomics (F4)
Presiding: Anthony Landry (Federal Reserve Board-Dallas)
Trade, Multinational Production, and the Gains From Openness
Natalia Ramondo (University of Texas-Austin)
Andres Rodriguez-Clare (Pennsylvania State University)
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Where Did Capital Flow? Fifty Years of International Rate of Return Differentials and Capital Flows
Lee Ohanian (University of California-Los Angeles)
Mark Wright (University of California-Los Angeles)
The Marginal Product of Capital, Capital Flows and Convergence
Kanda Naknoi (Purdue University)
Sirsha Chatterjee (Purdue University)
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The Quantitative Role of Capital-Goods Imports in U.S. Growth
Michele Cavallo (Federal Reserve Board)
Anthony Landry (Federal Reserve Bank-Dallas)
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Discussants:
Arnaud Costinot (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Philip Lane (Trinity College-Dublin)
Gaetano Antinolfi (Washington University-St. Louis)
Kim Ruhl (New York University-Stern)
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M101
AEA
Session: Organizational Responses to Globalization (L2)
Presiding: Paola Conconi (European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics )
The Organization of Firms Across Countries
Nicholas Bloom (Stanford University)
Raffaella Sadun (London School of Economics)
John Van Reenen (London School of Economics)
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The Flattening Firm and Product Market Competition
Maria Guadalupe (Columbia University)
Julie Wulf (Harvard Business School)
[Download Preview]
Global Sourcing Under Imperfect Capital Markets
Juan Carluccio (Paris School of Economics)
Thibault Fally (Paris School of Economics)
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Trade Policy and Firm Boundaries
Laura Alfaro (Harvard Business School)
Paola Conconi (European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics )
Harald Fadinger (University of Vienna)
Andrew Newman (Boston University )
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Discussants:
Roberto Rigobon (Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER)
Maria Guadalupe (Columbia University)
Beata Javorcik (University of Oxford)
Katheryn Russ (University of California-Davis)
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon D
AEA
Session: Fiscal Stabilization Policy (E6)
Presiding: Steven Davis (University of Chicago)
Fiscal Multipliers
Robert Barro (Harvard University)
Charles Redlick (Harvard University)
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Industry Evidence on the Effects of Government Spending
Christopher J. Nekarda (Federal Reserve Board)
Valerie A. Ramey (University of California-San Diego)
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Simple Analytics of the Government Expenditure Multiplier
Michael Woodford (Columbia University)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon C
AEA
Session: International Financial Markets (F4)
Presiding: Kenneth West (University of Wisconsin)
Global Interest Rates, Currency Returns and the Real Value of the Dollar
Charles Engel (University of Wisconsin)
Kenneth D. West (University of Wisconsin)
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Estimation of De Facto Flexibility Parameter and Basket Weights in Evolving Exchange Rate Regimes
Jeffrey Frankel (Harvard University)
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Growth in a Time of Debt
Carmen M. Reinhart (University of Maryland)
Kenneth Rogoff (Harvard University)
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Discussants:
Eric van Wincoop (University of Virginia)
Atish Ghosh (IMF)
Olivier Jeanne (Johns Hopkins)
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon A
AEA
Session: Evolutionary Perspectives on the Crisis (E3)
Presiding: Sidney Winter (University of Pennsylvania)
Innovating Toward Disaster: The Evolution of the Derivatives Industry and the Financial Crisis
Giulio Bottazzi (LEM, Suola Superiore S. Anna, Italy)
Giovanni Dosi (Scuola Superiore S. Anna, Italy)
Luigi Marengo (Scuola Superiore S. Anna, Italy)
The Imperceptible but Inevitable Emergence of Crises
Alan Kirman (Universite d'Aix Marseille 3)
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Survival of the Reckless: How the U.S. Mortgage Market Evolved Toward Disaster
Michael G Jacobides (London Business School)
Sidney G Winter (University of Pennsylvania)
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Ecological Analysis of Risk and Financial Innovation
Joseph Stiglitz (Columbia University)
Discussants:
David Colander (Middlebury College)
Robert Shiller (Yale University)
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, L508
AEA
Session: Natural Resources (O5)
Presiding: Francesco Caselli (London School of Economics)
Do Oil Windfalls Improve Living Standards? Evidence from Brazil
Francesco Caselli (London School of Economics)
Guy Michaels (London School of Economics)
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Income and Health Spending: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks
Daron Acemoglu (Massachusetts Institute of Economics)
Amy Finkelstein (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Matthew Notowidigdo (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
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Harnessing Windfall Revenues: Optimal Policies for Resource-Rich Developing Economies
Frederick van der Ploeg (University of Oxford )
Anthony Venables (University of Oxford)
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Commodity Price Shocks and Civil Conflict: Evidence From Columbia
Oeindrila Dube (Harvard University)
Juan Vargas (Universidad del Rosario)
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Discussants:
Claudio Ferraz (PUC-Rio)
Charles Jones (Stanford University)
Aleh TSYVINSKI (Yale University)
Ernesto Dal Bo (University of California-Berkeley)
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Atrium Ballroom B
AEA
Session: Nobel and Clark Lectures (A1)
Presiding: Robert E. Hall (Stanford University)
From Optimal Tax Theory to Practice: Comprehensive US Income Tax Reform
Emmanuel Saez (University of California-Berkeley)
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Globalization and the Crisis
Paul Krugman (Princeton University)
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A708
AEA
Session: DATA WATCH: New Developments in Measuring Innovation Activity (O3)
Presiding: Robert Strom (Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation)
Science & Technology Agents of Revolution (STAR) Database: A Progress Report
Michael R. Darby (University of California-Los Angeles & NBER)
Lynne G. Zucker (University of California-Los Angeles & NBER)
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The Redesign of the National Science Foundation's Business R&D and Innovation Survey: What Worked and What Didn't in Trying to Measure Global R&D, Intellectual Property, Technology Transfer, and Innovation
John E. Jankowski (National Science Foundation)
Lynda Carlson (National Science Foundation)
Peter Gibson (U.S. Census Bureau)
Richard Hough (U.S. Census Bureau)
Ronald Lee (U.S. Census Bureau)
Brandon Shackelford (Twin Ravens Consulting)
Raymond Wolfe (National Science Foundation)
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Extending the Surveys on R&D to Measure Intangibles: Evidence from a Pilot Survey in the UK and the Kauffman Firm Survey
Jonathan Haskel (Imperial College Business School)
Alicia Robb (Beacon Economics)
John Haltiwanger (University of Maryland)
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Analyzing the Innovative Activity of Young Businesses Across Countries Using Administrative Data
Claire LeLarge (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development)
Dominique Guellec (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development)
Discussants:
Joseph Kennedy (Pew Charitable Trusts)
John P. Walsh (Georgia Institute of Technology)
William Kerr (Harvard Business School)
Jan. 4, 2:30 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A706
AEA
Session: Banking and Securitization (G2)
Presiding: David Scharfstein (Harvard Business School)
Unstable Banking
Andrei Shleifer (Harvard University)
Robert Vishny (University of Chicago)
Securitization, House Prices, and the Real Economy: Evidence from the U.S. Mortgage Default Crisis
Atif Mian (University of Chicago)
Amir Sufi (University of Chicago)
Loan Syndication and Cyclicality
Victoria Ivashina (Harvard Business School)
David Scharfstein (Harvard Business School)
Discussants:
Gary Gorton (Yale University)
Philip Strahan (Boston College)
Viral Acharya (New York University)
Jan. 4, 4:40 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Imperial Ballroom
AEA
Session: Awards Ceremony and Presidential Address followed by Business Meeting
Presiding: Robert Hall (Stanford University)
Angus Deaton, Princeton UniversityQuality, Inequality, and the Measurement of World Poverty

January 5, 2010

Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A707
AEA
Session: Screening Technologies in Economics (D8)
Presiding: Steven Levitt (University of Chicago)
Using Experiments to Screen: Theory and Empirical Evidence
Amanda Agan (University of Chicago)
Amee Kamdar (University of Chicago)
Steven Levitt (University of Chicago)
John List (University of Chicago)
Can We Infer Social Preferences from the Lab? Evidence from the Trust Game
Luigi Zingales (University of Chicago)
Paola Sapienza (Northwestern University)
Nicole Baran (Cornell University)
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Can You Recognize an Effective Teacher When You Recruit One?
Jonah Rockoff (Columbia University)
Thomas Kane (Harvard University)
Brian Jacob (University of Michigan)
Douglas Staiger (Dartmouth College)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Anya Savihkin (Purdue University)
Ulrike Malmendier (University of California-Berkeley)
Stephan Meier (Columbia University)
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M302
AEA
Session: Economic Experiments and Children's Behavior (D1)
Presiding: William Harbaugh (University of Oregon)
Strategic Thinking and Its Development with Age
Simon Czermak (University of Innsbruck)
Francesco Feri (University of Innsbruck)
Daniela Ruetzler (University of Innsbruck)
Matthias Sutter (University of Innsbruck)
The development of inequality acceptance
Ingvild Almas (Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration)
Alexander Cappelen (Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration)
Erik Sorensen (University of Amsterdam )
Bertil Tungodden (Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration)
Temptation at Work: A Field Experiment on Willpower and Productivity
Alessandro Bucciol (University of Amsterdam)
Daniel Houser (George Mason University)
Marco Piovesan (University of Copenhagen)
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Health and Competitiveness in Preschoolers: An Experimental Analysis
Bjorn Bartling (University of Zurich)
Ernst Fehr (University of Zurich)
Daniel Schunk (University of Zurich)
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Instant Gratification and Self Control in an Experiment with Children and Teenagers
Tabea Bucher-Koenen (University of Mannheim)
Carsten Schmidt (University of Mannheim)
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Discussants:
Lise Vesterlund (University of Pittsburg)
Eric Bettinger (Stanford University)
Monica Capra (Emory University)
Marco Castillo (George Mason University and ICES)
William Harbaugh (University of Oregon)
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A705
AEA
Session: Labor Demand and Supply (J2)
Presiding: Kurt Schaefer (Calvin College)
Assessing the Performance of a Model of Labor Supply and Welfare Participation
melissa tartari (Yale University)
patrick kline (University of California-Berkeley)
Are Adults in Demand When Children Leave the Land? Evidence from Rural Mexico
Kirk Doran (University of Notre Dame)
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Changes in Consumption at Retirement
Emma Aguila (RAND Corporation)
Orazio Attanasio (University College London)
Costas Meghir (Unversity College London)
[Download Preview]
A Natural Experiment on Sick Pay Cuts, Sickness Absence, and Labor Costs
Nicolas Robert Ziebarth (DIW Berlin)
Martin Karlsson (Technische Universitat Darmstadt)
[Download Preview]
Are obese elders working more or less, and why?
BO MACINNIS (University of Michigan)
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Moral Hazard and The Monday Effect in Workers' Compensation: Evidence from the CA Reforms
Benjamin Hansen (University of California-Santa Barbara)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A704
AEA
Session: Mortgage Market and the Financial Crisis (R2)
Presiding: Nancy Wallace (University of California-Berkeley)
Learning to Cope: Voluntary Financial Education Programs and the Housing Crisis
Sumit Agarwal (Federal Reserve Bank-Chicago)
Gene Amromin (Federal Reserve Bank-Chicago)
Itzhak Ben-David (Ohio State University)
Souphala Chomsisengphet (Office of the Comptroller of Currency)
Douglas Evanoff (Federal Reserve Bank-Chicago)
The Failure of Models That Predict Failure: Distance, Incentives and Defaults
Uday Rajan (University of Michigan)
Amit Seru (University of Chicago)
Vikrant Vig (London Business School)
Participants in the Securitization Process and Their Impact on Performance
Kathleen W. Johnson (Federal Reserve Board)
Christopher Mayer (Columbia University)
Oliver Faltin-Traeger (Columbia University)
What "Triggers" Mortgage Default?
Souphala Chomsisengphet (Office of the Comptroller of the Currency)
Ronel Elul (Federal Reserve Bank-Philadelphia)
Dennis Glennon (Office of the Comptroller of the Currency)
Robert Hunt (Federal Reserve Bank-Philadelphia)
Nicholas S. Souleles (University of Pennsylvania)
Discussants:
Sean Campbell (Federal Reserve Board)
Jeremy Stein (Harvard University)
Karen Pence (Federal Reserve Board)
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A703
AEA
Session: On-Line Training Modules on Econometric Techniques in Economic Education Research (00)
Presiding: Michael Watts (Purdue University)
Accessing and Using On-Line Modules on Data Issues and Heteroskedasticity, Endogenous Regressors, Panel Data, and Sample Selection Issues
William E. Becker (Indiana University)
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Discussants:
William Bosshardt (Florida Atlantic University)
Gail Hoyt (University of Kentucky)
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A702
AEA
Session: Public Policy and Education (I2)
Presiding: Jim Murdoch (University of Texas-Dallas)
The Impact of LIHTC Program on Neighborhood Schools
Wenhua Di (Federal Reserve Bank-Dallas)
Jim Murdoch (University of Texas-Dallas)
[Download Preview]
Does it Pay to get an A? School Resource Allocations in Response to Accountability Ratings
Scott A. Imberman (University of Houston)
Steven G. Craig (University of Houston)
Adam Perdue (University of Houston)
[Download Preview]
Mobility, Housing Markets, and Schools: Estimating General Equilibrium Effects of Interdistrict Choice
Eric J. Brunner (University of Connecticut)
Sung-Woo Cho (Columbia University)
Randall Reback (Columbia University)
[Download Preview]
Is the GED an Effective Route to Postsecondary Education for School Dropouts?
John Tyler (Brown University)
Magnus Lofstrom (Public Policy Institute of California)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Kelly Edmiston (Federal Reserve Bank-Kansas City)
Wim Vijverberg (City University of New York)
mark Thayer (San Diego State University)
Isaac McFarlin (University of Michigan)
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International C
AEA
Session: Innovation and Open Science (O3)
Presiding: Suzanne Scotchmer (University of California, Berkely)
Openness and the Process of Innovation
Philippe Aghion (Harvard University)
Mathias Dewatripont (Universite libre de Bruxelles)
Fiona Murray (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Scott Stern (Northwestern University)
[Download Preview]
Network Effects in Biology R&D
Joachim Henkel (Technische Universitaet Muenchen)
Stephen M. Maurer (University of California-Berkeley)
Openness, Open Source and the Veil of Ignorance
Suzanne Scotchmer (University of California-Berkeley)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International B
AEA
Session: Understanding the Impact of Fiscal Policy (E3)
Presiding: Christian Broda (University of Chicago)
Are the Pro-Poor Tax Cuts More Effective
Roberto Perotti (Bocconi University, IGIER)
Tomasso Monacelli (Bocconi University)
Labor Taxes, Labor Search and Sticky Wages
Harald Uhlig (University of Chicago)
Fiscal Policy in a Model With Financial Frictions
Jesus Villaverde (University of Pennsylvania)
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Debt consolidation and fiscal stabilization of deep recessions
Giancarlo Corsetti (European University Institute and Rome III)
Gernot Muller (University of Bonn)
Andre Meier (International Monetary Fund)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A701
AEA
Session: Measuring Intangible Capital (00)
Presiding: John Haltiwanger (University of Maryland)
How Do You Measure a "Technological Revolution"?
Carol Corrado (The Conference Board)
Charles R. Hulten (University of Maryland)
[Download Preview]
New approaches to surveying organizations
Nick Bloom (Stanford University)
John van Reenen (London School of Economics)
[Download Preview]
Artistic Originals As Capital Assets
Rachel Soloveichik (Bureau of Economic Analysis)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Kathryn Shaw (Stanford University)
Stan Liebowitz (University of Texas)
Barbara Fraumeni (University of Southern Maine)
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M106
AEA
Session: Asset Pricing: New Risk Channels (G1)
Presiding: Amir Yaron (University of Pennsylvania)
Heterogeneous Beliefs, Rare Disasters, and Asset Pricing
Hui Chen (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Scott Joslin (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Ngoc-Khanh Tran (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
[Download Preview]
Risk Sharing for the Long-Run: The Gains from Financial Integration
Ricardo Colacito (University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill)
Mariano Croche (University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill)
[Download Preview]
Growth Opportunities, Technology Shocks and Asset Prices
Leonid Kogan (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Dimitris Papanikolaou (Northwestern University)
[Download Preview]
Confidence Risk and Asset Prices
Ravi Bansal (Duke University)
Ivan Shaliastovich (Duke University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Ian Martin (Stanford University)
Adrien Verdelhan (Boston University)
Hengjie Ai (Duke University)
Ralph Koijen (University of Chicago)
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A708
AEA
Session: Intermediation in International Trade (F1)
Presiding: Pol Antras (Harvard University)
Wholesalers and Retailers in U.S. Trade
Andrew B. Bernard (Dartmouth College)
Bradford Jensen (Georgetown University)
Stephen Redding (London School of Economics)
Peter Schott (Yale University)
[Download Preview]
Imports "R" Us: Retail Chains as Platforms for Developing-Country Imports
Emek Basker (University of Missouri)
Pham Hoang Van (Baylor University )
[Download Preview]
Facts and Figures on Intermediated Trade
Bernardo Blum (University of Toronto)
Sebastian Claro (Central Bank of Chile)
Ignatius Horstmann (University of Toronto)
[Download Preview]
Intermediation and Economic Integration
Pol Antras (Harvard University)
Arnaud Costinot (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Donald Davis (Columbia University)
David Atkin (Yale University)
James Tybout (Pennsylvania State University)
Jonathan Eaton (Pennsylvania State University)
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M104
AEA
Session: Default, Coordination and Illiquidity in Debt Prices (G3)
Presiding: Hyun Shin (Princeton University)
Liquidity Risk of Corporate Bond Returns
Viral V Acharya (New York University)
Yakov Amihud (New York University )
Sreedhar Bharath (University of Michigan)
[Download Preview]
Rollover Risk and Credit Risk
Zhiguo He (University of Chicago)
Wei Xiong (Princeton University)
Self-Fulfilling Credit Market Freezes
Lucian Bebchuk (Harvard University)
Itay Goldstein (University of Pennsylvania)
[Download Preview]
Illiquidity Component of Credit Risk
Stephen Morris (Princeton University)
Hyun Song Shin (Princeton University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Itay Goldstein (University of Pennsylvania)
Hyun Song Shin (Princeton University)
Jakub Steiner (Northwestern University)
Viral V. Acharya (New York University)
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M103
AEA
Session: Global Production, FDI and Productivity: Causes and Effects (F2)
Presiding: Laura Alfaro (Harvard Business School & NBER)
Gravity in the Weightless Economy
Wolfgang Keller (University of Colorado-Boulder, NBER & CPER)
Stephen Yeaple (Pennsylvania State University & NBER )
[Download Preview]
Do the Biggest Aisles Serve a Brighter Future? Global Retail Chains and Their Implications for Romania
Beata Javorcik (University of Oxford & CEPR)
Yue Li (World Bank)
[Download Preview]
Hymer's Multinationals: Strategic Pricing and Cross-Border Takeovers
Katheryn Russ (University of California-Davis & NBER)
Beatriz de Blas (Universidad Autonoma de Madrid)
[Download Preview]
The Global Networks of Multinational Firms
Laura Alfaro (Harvard Business School & NBER)
Maggie Chen (George Washington University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Ann Harrison (University of California-Berkeley)
Stefania Garetto (Boston University)
Keith Head (University of British Columbia)
Amit Khandelwal (Columbia Business School)
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M102
AEA
Session: Proximity, Coresidence, Migration, and Intergenerational Transfers (J1)
Presiding: Michael Hurd (Rand Corporation)
Housing Mobility and Health Shocks at Older Ages in England and the United States
James Banks (University College London & Institute for Fiscal Studies)
Zoe Oldfield (Institute for Fiscal Studies)
James P. Smith (Rand Corporation)
Proximity to Mom and the Labor Supply of Daughters
Janice Compton (University of Manitoba)
Robert A. Pollak (Washington University in St. Louis)
[Download Preview]
Living Arrangements among Elderly Women in the PSID
V. Joseph Hotz (Duke University)
Kathleen McGarry (University of California-Los Angeles)
Emily Wiemers (University of Michigan)
Moving Out or Moving Up? New Economists Sacrifice Job Opportunities for Proximity to Significant Others -- and Vice Versa
Brooke Helppie (University of Michigan)
Marta Murray-Close (University of Michigan)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
John Laitner (University of Michigan )
Barbara S. Schone (Agency for Health Care Research and Quality )
Betsey Stevenson (University of Pennsylvania )
Robert J. Willis (University of Michigan )
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M101
AEA
Session: Equilibrium Consequences of Search-on-the Job (J6)
Presiding: Robert Shimer (University of Chicago)
Directed Search on the Job, Heterogeneity, and Aggregate Fluctuations
Guido Menzio (University of Pennsylvania)
Shouyong Shi (University of Toronto)
[Download Preview]
Unemployment and Small Cap Returns: The Nexus
Giuseppe Moscarini (Yale University)
Fabien Postel-Vinay (Bristol University)
[Download Preview]
Wage Dispersion in the Search and Matching Model with Intra-Firm Bargaining
Dale T. Mortensen (Northwestern University & Aarhus University)
[Download Preview]
Job to Job Movements in A Simple Search Model
Espen Moen (Norwegian School of Management)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Kenneth Burdett (University of Pennslyvania)
Robert Shimer (University of Chicago)
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon D
AEA
Session: The Future of Financial Regulation (G2) (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: Rene Stulz (Ohio State University)
Gary Gorton, Yale University
Anil Kashyap, University of Chicago
Andrew Lo, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon C
AEA
Session: Trade and Climate Change (F1)
Presiding: Sam Kortum (University of Minnesota)
Can Openness Mitigate the Effects of Weather Shocks? Evidence from India's Famine Era
Dave Donaldson (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Robin Burgess (London School of Economics)
[Download Preview]
Climate Shocks and Exports
Benjamin Jones (Northwestern University)
Benjamin Olken (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
[Download Preview]
Oil Monopoly and the Climate
John Hassler (Stockholm University)
Per Krusell (Princeton University)
Conny Olovsson (Stockholm University)
Analysis of Carbon Leakage and Outsourcing from Unilateral U.S. Climate Policy using CIM-Earth
Joshua Elliott (University of Chicago)
Ian Foster (University of Chicago)
Samuel Kortum (University of Chicago)
Todd Munson (Argonne National Laboratory)
David Weisbach (University of Chicago)
Discussants:
Chang-Tai Hsieh (University of California-Berkeley)
Chad Jones (Stanford University)
Francesco Caselli (London School of Economics)
Tim Kehoe (University of Minnesota)
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon A
AEA
Session: Ending Government Bailouts As We Know Them (H0) (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: John B. Taylor (Stanford University)
John H. Cochrane, University of Chicago
Thomas M. Hoenig, President, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Carmen M. Reinhart, University of Maryland
Gary H. Stern, former President, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, L508
AEA
Session: Fluctuations 1 (E3)
Presiding: Richard MacDonald (St. Cloud State University)
Are Recessions Good for Young People?
Dirk Krueger (University of Pennsylvania)
Jose-Victor Rios-Rull (University of Minnesota)
[Download Preview]
Do Menu Costs Make Prices Sticky?
Thomas A. Eife (University of Heidelberg)
[Download Preview]
Price Setting in a Variable Macroeconomic Environment: Evidence from Brazilian CPI
Marco Bonomo (Getulio Vargas Foundation)
Carlos Carvalho (Federal Reserve Bank-New York)
Rebecca Barros (Getulio Vargas Foundation)
Silvia Matos (Getulio Vargas Foundation)
[Download Preview]
Estimating the Cross-Sectional Distribution of Price Stickiness from Aggregate Data
Carlos Carvalho (Federal Reserve Bank-New York)
Niels A. Dam (Danmarks Nationalbank)
[Download Preview]
On the Welfare Costs of Imperfect Information for Monetary Policy
Jean Boivin (HEC Montreal)
Marc P Giannoni (Columbia University)
Jan. 5, 8:00 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A706
AEA
Session: Newspapers (L8)
Presiding: Sam Schulhofer-Wohl (Princeton University)
Market Structure and Product Quality in the U.S. Daily Newspaper Market
Ying Fan (University of Michigan)
Media Bias and Influence: Evidence from Newspaper Endorsements
Brian Knight (Brown University)
Chun-Fang Chiang (National Taiwan University)
[Download Preview]
The Effect of Newspaper Entry and Exit on Electoral Politics
Matthew Gentzkow (University of Chicago)
Jesse Shapiro (University of Chicago)
Michael Sinkinson (Harvard University)
[Download Preview]
Do Newspapers Matter? Evidence from the Closure of The Cincinnati Post
Sam Schulhofer-Wohl (Princeton University)
Miguel Garrido (Princeton University)
Discussants:
Ali Yurukoglu (Stanford University)
Stefano DellaVigna (University of California-Berkeley)
Douglas Gollin (Williams College)
Raymond Fisman (Columbia University)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Atrium Ballroom A
AEA
Session: Designing Online Advertising Markets (L1)
Presiding: Michael Schwarz (Yahoo! Research)
Optimal Auction Design and Equilibrium Selection in Sponsored Search Auctions
Benjamin Edelman (Harvard Business School)
Michael Schwarz (Yahoo! Research)
[Download Preview]
Online Advertising: Heterogeneity and Conflation in Market Design
Jonathan Levin (Stanford University)
Paul Milgrom (Stanford University)
[Download Preview]
The Impact of Targeting Technology on Advertising Markets and Media Competition
Susan Athey (Harvard University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Dirk Bergemann (Yale University)
Michael Grubb (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Michael Ostrovsky (Stanford University)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A707
AEA
Session: Performance in Academia (A1)
Presiding: Amelie Constant (DIW DC & George Washington University)
Rising Tuition and Enrollment in Public Higher Education
Steven W. Hemelt (University of Maryland)
Dave E. Marcotte (University of Maryland)
Highly Cited Leaders and the Performance of Research Universities
Amanda H. Goodall (University of Warwick)
[Download Preview]
A Suggested Method for the Measurement of World-Leading Research (with an Application to Data on Economics)
Andrew J. Oswald (University of Warwick)
[Download Preview]
Comparing the Early Research Performance of PhD Graduates in Labor Economics in Europe and the USA
Ana Rute Cardoso (IAE Barcelona, CSIC)
Paulo Guimaraes (University of South Carolina)
Klaus F. Zimmermann (IZA, Bonn University & DIW Berlin)
[Download Preview]
The Americanization of European Education and Research
Lex Borghans (Maastricht University)
Frank Coervers (Maastricht University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Hilmar Schneider (IZA)
Klaus F. Zimmermann (IZA, Bonn University & DIW Berlin)
Martin Kahanec (IZA)
Julie L. Hotchkiss (Federal Reserve Bank-Atlanta)
Ana Rute Cardoso (IAE Barcelona, CSIC)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A705
AEA
Session: Short-term Debt and Financial Crises (G2)
Presiding: Viral Acharya (New York University )
The Maturity Rat Race
Markus Brunnermeier (Princeton University)
Martin Oehmke (Columbia University)
Rollover Risk and Market Freezes
Viral V. Acharya (New York University )
Douglas Gale (New York University)
Tanju Yorulmazer (Federal Reserve Bank-New York)
[Download Preview]
Dynamic Bank Runs
Zhiguo He (University of Chicago)
Wei Xiong (Princeton University)
Discussants:
Itay Goldstein (University of Pennsylvania)
Arvind Krishnamurthy (Northwestern University)
Guido Lorenzoni (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A704
AEA
Session: Entrepreneurship in Medieval China, Early Muslim Societies, and the Dutch Republic: Economies with Extraordinary Creativity that Did Not Last - Lessons for the U.S. (N9)
Presiding: William Baumol (New York University)
The Consequences of Financial Innovation: A Research Agenda
Josh Lerner (Harvard Business School)
Peter Tufano (Harvard Business School)
[Download Preview]
RAPID INVENTION, SLOW INDUSTRIALIZATION, AND THE ABSENT INNOVATIVE ENTREPRENEUR IN MEDIEVAL CHINA
Ying Lowrey (U.S. Small Business Administration)
William J. Baumol (New York University)
[Download Preview]
Early Muslim Science Entrepreneurship in Islam
M. Ishaq Nadiri (New York University)
[Download Preview]
Invention, Entrepreneurship and Prosperity: The Dutch Golden Age
Thijs ten Raa (University of Tilburg)
Pierre Mohnen (Maastricht University)
Jan Luiten van Zanden (Utrecht University)
Bas van Leeuwen (Utrecht University)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A703
AEA
Session: Oil, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy (E3)
Presiding: Nathan Balke (Southern Methodist University)
Does the Fed Respond to Oil Price Shocks?
Lutz Kilian (University of Michigan & CEPR)
[Download Preview]
External Capital Structures and Oil Price Volatility
John D Burger (Loyola College-Maryland & Katolieke Universiteit Leuven)
Alessandro Rebucci (Inter-American Development Bank)
Francis E. Warnock (University of Virginia & NBER)
Veronica Cacdac Warnock (University of Virginia)
[Download Preview]
The Relationship Between Oil and Breakeven Inflation Rates
Robin L. Lumsdaine (American University)
Commodity Traders' Positions and Crude Oil Prices: Evidence from the Recent Boom-Bust Cycle
Bahattin Buyuksahin (U.S. CFTC)
Michel A Robe (American University & CFTC)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Ana Maria Herrera (Wayne State University)
Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti (International Monetary Fund & CEPR)
Jonathan Wright (Johns Hopkins University)
Hendrik Bessembinder (University of Utah)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A702
AEA
Session: Heterogeneity and Public Good Provision (H3)
Presiding: James Cox (Georgia State University)
The Effect of Social Diversity on Volunteering: Evidence from New Zealand
Jeremy Clark (University of Canterbury)
Bonggeun Kim (Seoul National University)
[Download Preview]
One Bad Apple? Uncertainty and Heterogeneity in Public Good Provision
Angela de Oliveira (University of Massachusetts-Amherst)
Rachel Croson (University of Texas-Dallas)
Catherine Eckel (University of Texas-Dallas)
[Download Preview]
When Public Goods Go Bad
R. Mark Isaac (Florida State University)
Douglas A. Norton (Florida State University)
Svetlana Pevnitskaya (Florida State University)
[Download Preview]
Equality versus Incentives: An Experiment
Loukas Balafoutas (University of Innsbruck)
Martin Kocher (Ludwig-Maximilians University-Munich)
Louis Putterman (Brown University)
Matthias Sutter (University of Innsbruck)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Sherry Xin Li (University of Texas-Dallas)
Susan Laury (Georgia State University)
James Cox (Georgia State University)
R. Mark Isaac (Florida State University)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International C
AEA
Session: Long Run Risks and Asset Markets (G1)
Presiding: Stanley Zin (Carnegie Mellon University)
Long-Run Risks, the Macroeconomy and Asset Prices
Ravi Bansal (Duke University)
Dana Kiku (University of Pennsylvania)
Amir Yaron (University of Pennsylvania)
[Download Preview]
Long-Run Risks, Credit Markets, and Financial Structure
Harjoat Bhamra (University of British Columbia)
Lars-Alexander Kuehn (Carnegie Mellon University)
Ilya Strebulaev (Stanford University)
[Download Preview]
Long-Run Risk, the Wealth-Consumption Ratio, and the Temporal Pricing of Risk
Ralph Koijen (University of Chicago)
Hanno Lustig (University of California-Los Angeles)
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh (New York University)
Adrien Verdelhan (Boston University)
[Download Preview]
An Equilibirum Term Structure Model with Recursive Preferences
Anh Le (University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill)
Kenneth Singleton (Stanford University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Lars Lochstoer (Columbia University)
Lukas Schmid (Duke University)
George Tauchen (Duke University)
Ivan Shaliastovich (University of Pennsylvania)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International B
AEA
Session: Human Capital, Health Outcomes and Diverse Populations (00)
Presiding: Ngina Chiteji (Skidmore College)
The Impact of External Incentives on Achievement
Roland Fryer (Harvard University & NBER)
The Health Returns of Education Policies from Pre-School to High School & Beyond
Rucker Johnson (University of California-Berkeley)
[Download Preview]
The Health of Latino Communities in the South
Liany Arroyo (National Council of La Raza)
[Download Preview]
HIV/AIDS, Health Status and Economic Growth: A Survey on Health Variables and Income per Capita
Juan DelaCruz (Lehman College, CUNY)
Discussants:
Anne Case (Princeton University)
Amitabh Chandra (Harvard University )
Mark Lopez (Pew Hispanic Center)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A701
AEA
Session: Financial Markets & Business Cycles (E3)
Presiding: Mark Watson (Princeton University)
Financial Volatility and Economic Activity
Fabio Fornari (European Central Bank)
Antonio Mele (London School of Economics)
Monetary Tightening Cycles, Financial Cycles, and the Business Cycle
Tobias Adrian (Federal Reserve Bank-New York)
Arturo Estrella (Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute)
Hyun Song Shin (Princeton University)
[Download Preview]
Money, Credit, Monetary Policy and the Business Cycle in the Euro Area
Domenico Giannone (European Central Bank & CEPR)
Michele Lenza (European Central Bank)
Lucrezia Reichlin (London Business School & CEPR)
Discussants:
Arturo Estrella (Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute)
Anthony Rodrigues (Federal Reserve Bank-New York)
Andrew Scott (London Business School)
Fabio Fornari (European Central Bank)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M302
AEA
Session: The Causes and Consequences of Indoor Air Pollution: Insights from 3 Field Experiments (O1)
Presiding: A. Mushfiq Mobarak (Yale University)
Marketing Stoves: A Randomized Intervention Study in Bangladesh
Grant Miller (Stanford University)
A. Mushfiq Mobarak (Yale University)
Bangladesh Rural Advancement Committee (BRAC, www.brac.net)
The Effect of Improved Cooking Stoves on Health
Esther Duflo (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Michael Greenstone (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Rema Hanna (Harvard University)
Improved Stoves: Impacts on Health, Fuel Use and Technology Adoption
David I. Levine (University of California-Berkeley)
Theresa Beltramo (University of Venice)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Benjamin Olken (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Mark Rosenzweig (Yale University)
Pascaline Dupas (University of California-Los Angeles)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M104
AEA
Session: Labor Economics (J0)
Presiding: Sophie Mitra (Fordham University)
New Evidence on Job Hazard Pay and Worker Risk Attitudes
Sebastian Buhai (Aarhus University)
Elena Cottini (Catholic University-Milan)
Does Ownership Structure Influence Regulatory Behavior? - The Impact of Franchising on Labor Standards Compliance
David Weil (Boston University)
Min Woong Ji (Boston University)
[Download Preview]
Does the Stock Market Fully Value Intangibles? Employee Satisfaction and Equity Prices
Alex Edmans (University of Pennsylvania)
[Download Preview]
Employers’ Preferences for Gender, Age, Height and Beauty: Direct Evidence
Peter J. Kuhn (University of California-Santa Barbara)
Kailing Shen (Xiamen University)
[Download Preview]
Testing for Racial Prejudice in Health Care: The Case of Bouncebacks in the Emergency Department
Shamena Anwar (Carnegie Mellon University)
Hanming Fang (Duke University)
Working for Female Managers: Gender Hierarchy in the Workplace
Illoong Kwon (State University of New York-Albany)
Eva M. Meyersson Milgrom (Stanford University)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M101
AEA
Session: International Migration and Remittances (O1)
Presiding: Dean Yang (University of Michigan)
Parental Migration and Overweight and Underweight Status of Children in Rural China
Alan de Brauw (International Food Policy Research Institute)
Ren Mu (Texas A&M)
[Download Preview]
Accounting for Selectivity and Duration-Dependent Heterogeneity When Estimating the Impact of Emigration on Incomes and Poverty in Sending Areas
David McKenzie (World Bank)
John Gibson (Waikato School of Management)
[Download Preview]
The Place Premium: Wage Differences for Identical Workers Across the U.S. Border
Michael Clemens (Center for Global Development)
Claudio Montenegro (World Bank)
Lant Pritchett (Harvard University)
[Download Preview]
The Impact of Remittance Fees on Remittance Flows: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment
Dean Yang (University of Michigan)
Diego Aycinena (Francisco Marroquin University)
Claudia Martinez (University of Chile)
Discussants:
Wei Ha (UNICEF)
Ted Miguel (University of California-Berkeley)
Patricia Cortes (University of Chicago)
Shawn Cole (Harvard Business School)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon D
AEA
Session: Dealing with Exchange Rate Misalignments (F4)
Presiding: Charles Engel (University of Wisconsin)
Understanding the Forward Premium Puzzle A Microstructure Approach
Craig Burnside (Duke University)
Martin Eichenbaum (Northwestern University)
Sergio Rebelo (Northwestern University)
Assessing the Emerging Global Financial Architecture: Measuring the Trilemma's Configurations over Time
Joshua Aizenman (University of California-Santa Cruz)
Menzie Chinn (University of Wisconsin)
Hiro Ito (Portland State University)
[Download Preview]
Chronicle of Large Currency Collapses: Re-examining the Effects on Output
Matthieu Bussiere (Banque de France)
Sweta Saxena (International Monetary Fund)
Camilo Tovar (Bank for International Settlements)
Currency Misalignments and Optimal Monetary Policy: A Reexamination
Charles Engel (University of Wisconsin)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Mark Taylor (BlackRock Global Investors and Warwick University)
Roberto Chang (Rutgers University)
Giancarlo Corsetti (European University Institute)
Chris Erceg (Federal Reserve Board)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon C
AEA
Session: Health Care Reform in the U.S.: Status and Prospects (I1) (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: Jonathan Gruber (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Len Nichols, New America Foundation
Gail Wilensky, Project Hope
Uwe Reinhardt, Princeton University
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon A
AEA
Session: Development, Culture, and Institutions (N4)
Presiding: Joseph Stiglitz (Columbia University)
Cultural and Institutional Bifurcation: China and Europe Compared
Avner Greif (Stanford University)
Guido Tabellini (Bocconi University)
[Download Preview]
Equilibrium Fictions:A Cognitive Approach to Institutions, with an Application to Race
Karla Hoff (World Bank)
Joseph E. Stiglitz (Columbia University)
[Download Preview]
Christians in Colonial Africa
Nathan Nunn (Harvard University)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Carol Shiue (University of Colorado)
Roland Benabou (Princeton University)
Murat Iyigun (University of Colorado)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, L508
AEA
Session: Empirical Issues in Personnel Economics (00)
Presiding: Maria Guadalupe (Columbia University)
The Disciplining Effect of Concern for Referrals for Better Informed Agents: Evidence from Real Estate Transactions
Lan Shi (University of Washington)
Christina Tapia (University of Washington)
Firm Organizational Structure and Productivity
Maria Guadalupe (Columbia University)
Julie Wulf (Harvard Business School)
Amanda Starc (Harvard Business School)
Applicant Screening and Performance-Related Outcomes
Fali Huang (Singapore Management University)
Peter Cappelli (University of Pennsylvania)
Discussants:
Maria Guadalupe (Columbia University)
Lan Shi (University of Washington)
Casey Ichniowski (Columbia University)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Atrium Ballroom B
AEA
Session: Why Did Economists Not Predict the Crisis? (E3) (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: Dani Rodrik (Harvard University)
Paul Krugman, Princeton University
Raghuram G. Rajan, University of Chicago
Thomas J. Sargent, New York University & Stanford University
Robert J. Shiller, Yale University
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A708
AEA
Session: Financial Constraints and the Internationalization Strategies of Firms (F1)
Presiding: Monika Schnitzer (University of Munich)
Firm Exports and Multinational Activity under Credit Constraints
Kalina Manova (Stanford University)
Zhiwei Zhang (International Monetary Fund)
Shang-Jin Wei (Columbia University)
[Download Preview]
Exporter Dynamics and Productivity Growth
Nicolas Berman (European University Institute-Florence)
Vincent Rebeyrol (European University Institute-Florence)
[Download Preview]
Financial Constraints and the Margins of FDI
Claudia Buch (University of Tuebingen)
Iris Kesternich (University of Munich)
Alexander Lipponer (Deutsche Bundesbank)
Monika Schnitzer (University of Munich)
[Download Preview]
FDI in the Banking Sector
Beatriz de Blas (Universidad Autonoma de Madrid)
Katheryn Niles Russ (University of California-Davis)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Laura Alfaro (Harvard Business School)
Philippe Aghion (Harvard University)
Fritz Foley (Harvard Business School)
Linda Goldberg (Federal Reserve Bank-New York)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A706
AEA
Session: Banking and the Global Financial Crisis (G2)
Presiding: Stephen Cecchetti (Bank for International Settlements)
Incentives and Tranche Retention in Securitisation: A Screening Model
Ingo Fender (Bank for International Settlements)
Janet Mitchell (National Bank of Belgium)
[Download Preview]
Time to Buy or Just Buying Time? The Market Reaction to Bank Rescue Packages
Michael King (Bank for International Settlements)
[Download Preview]
The US Dollar Shortage in Global Banking and the International Policy Response
Patrick McGuire (Bank for International Settlements)
Goetz Von Peter (Bank for International Settlements)
[Download Preview]
Allocating Systemic Risk to Individual Institutions: Methodology and Policy Applications
Patrick McGuire (Bank for International Settlements)
Kostas Tsatsaronis (Bank for International Settlements)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Jan Pieter Krahnen (Goethe University)
Charles Kahn (University of Illinois)
Philip R. Lane (Trinity College)
Andrew W. Lo (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Jan. 5, 10:15 am, Hilton Atlanta, Grand Salon B
AEA/ES
Session: In Memory of Sir Clive W.J. Granger - Retrospective and Directions for Future Research (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: Norman Swanson (Rutgers University)
Robert Engle, New York University
James Stock, Harvard University
Hal White, University of California-San Diego
Jan. 5, 1:00 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, L402
AEA
Session: Development 2 (O1)
Presiding: Ruth Uwaifo (Georgia Institute of Technology)
Malaria Policy: Alternative Prevention and Eradication Strategies in a Dynamic Model
Douglas Gollin (Williams College)
Christian Zimmermann (University of Connecticut)
[Download Preview]
Why Is the Take-up of Microinsurance So Low? Evidence from a Health Insurance Scheme in India
Seiro Ito (Institute of Developing Economies)
Hisaki Kono (Institute of Developing Economies)
[Download Preview]
“Poor stays poor” Household asset poverty traps in rural semi-arid India
Christopher B. Barrett (Cornell University)
Felix Naschold (Cornell University)
Jacqueline Vanderpuye-Orgle (Cornell University)
[Download Preview]
Does the Leader's Ethnicity Matter? Ethnic Favoritism, Education and Health in Sub-Saharan Africa
Ilia Rainer (George Mason University)
Raphael Franck (Bar Ilan University)
Quantitative Aspects of Africa's Past Economic Development
Javier A. Birchenall (University of California-Santa Barbara)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 5, 1:00 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon A
AEA
Session: Europe's Role and Position in the Current Economic Crisis (E2) (Panel Discussion)
Presiding: Klaus Zimmermann (IZA, Bonn University & DIW Berlin)
David G. Blanchflower, Dartmouth College
Pierre Cahuc, Ecole Polytechnique-Paris
Richard Freeman, Harvard University
Daniel Gros, Centre for European Policy Studies
Jan. 5, 1:00 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon C
AEA
Session: Economic Incentives to Promote Health in the Developing World (I1)
Presiding: Paul Gertler (University of California-Berkeley)
Financial Incentives and HIV Prevention
Rebecca L. Thornton (University of Michigan)
Hans-Peter Kohler (University of Pennsylvania)
[Download Preview]
Evaluating Conditional Cash Transfers to Prevent HIV and Other Sexually Transmitted Infections (STIs) in Tanzania
Damien De Walque (World Bank)
William H. Dow (University of California-Berkeley)
Rose Nathan (Ifakara Health Institute)
Carol Medlin (Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation)
[Download Preview]
Performance-Based Contracting for HIV/AIDS Care and Treatment in Rwanda
Sergio Bautista-Arredondo (National Institute of Public Health-Mexico)
Damien De Walque (World Bank)
Jeanine Condo (Rwandan School of Public Health)
Paul Gertler (University of California-Berkeley)
Stefano M. Bertozzi (National Institute of Public Health-Mexico )
Conditional Cash and Risk Behaviors: Evidence from Mexico
Omar Galarraga (National Institute of Public Health & University of California-Berkeley)
Paul J. Gertler (University of California-Berkeley)
[Download Preview]
Discussants:
Pascaline Dupas (University of California-Los Angeles)
Jane Fortson (Mathematica Policy Research)
Taryn L. Dinkelman (Princeton University)
Berk Ozler (World Bank)
Jan. 5, 1:00 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, Marquis Ballroom - Salon D
AEA
Session: Behavioral Economics and Public Policy (D6)
Presiding: William Congdon (The Brookings Institution)
Behavioral Public Finance
Jeffrey Kling (Congressional Budget Office)
Behavioral Economics and the Regulation of Consumer Finance
Sendhil Mullainathan (Harvard University)
Labor Market Policies and Behavioral Economics
Lawrence Katz (Harvard University)
Discussants:
Raj Chetty (Harvard University)
Xavier Gabaix (New York University )
Kathryn Shaw (Stanford University)
Jan. 5, 1:00 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M101
AEA
Session: Health (I1)
Presiding: David Howard (Emory University)
Disease in Childhood and Adult Stature: Recent Historical Evidence for Spain
Climent Quintana-Domeque (Universitat d'Alacant)
Mariano Bosch (Universitat d'Alacant)
Carlos Bozzoli (DIW Berlin)
[Download Preview]
Air Pollution and Infant Mortality: A Natural Experiment from Power Plant Desulfurization
Simon Luechinger (Swiss Federal Institute of Technology)
[Download Preview]
Does Sorry Work? The Impact of Apology Laws on Medical Malpractice
Benjamin Ho (Cornell University)
Elaine Liu (University of Houston)
[Download Preview]
Medicaid Redesign: Personal Responsibility and Health
Tami Gurley-Calvez (West Virginia University)
Adam Pellillo (West Virginia University)
Paula Fitzgerald Bone (West Virginia University)
Michael Walsh (West Virginia University)
[Download Preview]
Grandparents and Grandchildren: The Causal Impact of Income on Health Behaviors in South Africa
Andreea Balan-Cohen (Tufts University)
Public versus Private: A Dynamic Model of Health Insurance Choice
Cristian Pardo (Saint Joseph's University)
Whitney Schott (University of Pennsylvania)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 5, 1:00 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M102
AEA
Session: Growth (O3)
Presiding: Dhongde Shatakshee (Rochester Institute of Technology)
Discrete Adjust Costs and Investment Dynamics in Chilean Manufacturing: A Maximum Likelihood Approach
Olga Fuentes (Boston University)
Simon Gilchrist (Boston University)
Marc Rysman (Boston University)
Accounting for China's Growth in 1952-2008: China's Growth Performance Debate Revisited with a Newly Constructed Data Set
Harry X. Wu (Hitotsubashi University)
[Download Preview]
Financial Innovation and Endogenous Growth
Stelios Michalopoulos (Tufts University)
Ross Levine (Brown University)
[Download Preview]
Exploring firm growth across countries
Albert Bravo-Biosca (National Endowment for Science, Technology and the Arts)
Getting Cited: Does Open Access Help?
Patrick Gaule (Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne)
Nicolas Maystre (University of Geneva)
[Download Preview]
Identifying the Aggregate Productivity Effects of Entry and Size Restrictions: An Empirical Analysis of License Reform in India
Amalavoyal Chari (Cornell University)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 5, 1:00 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M103
AEA
Session: Economic Systems and Economic Education (P0)
Presiding: Prathibha Joshi (Gordon College)
Dissertations for Sale: Corruption in Russia's Doctoral Education
Ararat L. Osipian (Vanderbilt University)
[Download Preview]
Risk, Cooperation and the Economic Origins of Social Trust: an Empirical Investigation
Ruben Durante (Brown University)
[Download Preview]
A More Realistic Aggregate Demand-Aggregate Supply Model in Introductory Economics
Peter N. Hess (Davidson College)
[Download Preview]
Assessing the Effect of Online Homework on Exam Performance: A Large Sample Size Experiment.
Steve Trost (Virginia Polytechnic Institute)
Djavad Salehi-Isfahani (Virginia Polytechnic Institute)
[Download Preview]
Ideological Change and the Economics of Voting Behavior in the US, 1920-2008
Jan-Emmanuel De Neve (London School of Economics)
[Download Preview]
Endogenous Preferences: The Political Consequences of Economic Institutions
Jan-Emmanuel De Neve (London School of Economics)
[Download Preview]
Jan. 5, 1:00 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M104
AEA
Session: Integration and Synchronization: De-coupling or Re-coupling? (F3)
Presiding: Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan (University of Houston and NBER)
Business Cycle Synchronization and the Euro
Domenico Giannone (European Central Bank)
Michael Lenza (European Central Bank)
Lucrezia Reichlin (London Business School)
Financial Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan (University of Houston and NBER)
Elias Papaionnau (Dartmouth College)
Jose Luis Peydro Alcalde (European Central Bank)
[Download Preview]
Inflation Targeting and Business Cycle Synchronization
Bob Flood (International Monetary Fund)
Andy Rose (University of California-Berkeley and NBER)
Discussants:
Charles Engel (University of Wisconsin and NBER)
Phil Lane (Trinity College)
Michael Ehrmann (European Central Bank)
Linda Tesar (University of Michigan andNBER)
Jan. 5, 1:00 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M106
AEA
Session: Limited Strategic Thinking: Theory, Experiments, and Field Evidence (C9)
Presiding: Tore Ellingsen (Stockholm School of Economics)
Testing Game Theory in the Field: Swedish LUPI Lottery Games
Robert Ostling (Stockholm University)
Joseph Tao-yi Wang (National Taiwan University)
Eileen Chou (Northwestern University)
Colin F. Camerer (California Institute of Technology )
[Download Preview]
When Does Communication Improve Coordination?
Tore Ellingsen (Stockholm School of Economics)
Robert Ostling (Stockholm University)
[Download Preview]
Measuring Attention and Strategic Behavior in Games with Private Information
Isabelle Brocas (University of Southern California)
Juan Carillo (University of Southern California)
Stephanie Wang (California Institute of Technology)
Colin F. Camerer (California Institute of Technology)
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A Window of Cognition: Eyetracking the Reasoning Process in Graphical Beauty Contest Games
Chun-Ting Chen (National Taiwan University)
Chen-Ying Huang (National Taiwan University)
Joseph Tao-yi Wang (National Taiwan University)
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Discussants:
Chen-Ying Huang (National Taiwan University)
Joseph Tao-yi Wang (National Taiwan University)
Tore Ellingsen (Stockholm School of Economics)
Colin F. Camerer (California Institute of Technology )
Jan. 5, 1:00 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, M302
AEA
Session: Structure, Conduct, Performance (L1)
Presiding: Eric Glen Weyl (Harvard Society of Fellows)
An Offer You Can't Refuse: Are Cigarette Price Discounts Targeted at New Consumers?
Dean Lillard (Cornell University)
Andrew Sfekas (Northwestern University)
Price and Promotion Effects of Supermarket Mergers
David E. Davis (South Dakota State University)
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Software Quality, Killer Applications, and Network Effects: The Case of the U.S. Home Video Game Industry
Richard T. Gretz (Bradley University)
Jannett K. Highfill (Bradley University)
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The Failure of Price Competition in Settings with Marketing Costs: The Case of Credit Cards
Joshua M. Frank (Center for Responsible Lending)
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Mergers and Sequential Innovation: Evidence from Patent Citations
Jessica Calfee Stahl (Federal Reserve Board )
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Sited, Sighted, and Cited: The Effect of JSTOR in Economic Research
Craig A. Depken, II (University of North Carolina-Charlotte)
Michael R. Ward (University of Texas-Arlington)
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Jan. 5, 1:00 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A701
AEA
Session: Public Finance (H0)
Presiding: Janet Kolhase (University of Houston)
Things My Mortgage Broker Never Told Me About Homeownership: Escrow, Property Taxes, and Mortgage Delinquency
Nathan Anderson (University of Illinois-Chicago)
Jane Dokko (Federal Reserve Board)
Information and Voting: the Wisdom of the Experts versus the Wisdom of the Masses
Joseph C. McMurray (University of Rochester)
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Road investment and inventory reduction: Firm level evidence from China
Zhigang Li (University of Hong Kong)
Han Li (Southwestern University of Economics and Finance)
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The Habit of Giving
Jonathan Meer (Texas A&M University)
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Am I My Brother's Firefighter? Social Capital, Crowd-Out, and the Private versus Public Provision of Local Public Goods.
Adam Isen (University of Pennsylvania)
Walter E. Theseira (Nanyang Technological University)
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Changing Threat Perceptions and the Efficient Provisioning of International Security
Rupayan Gupta (Roger Williams University)
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Jan. 5, 1:00 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International B
AEA
Session: Macroeconomics (E1)
Presiding: Grace O (Georgia State University)
A Dynamic General Equilibrium Model of Driving, Gasoline Use and Vehicle Fuel Efficiency
Chao Wei (George Washington University)
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Retirement Savings and Portfolio Choices in Taxable and Tax-Deferred Accounts
Zhe Li (Stony Brook University)
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Do Credit Constraints Amplify Macroeconomic Fluctuations?
Zheng Liu (Federal Reserve Bank-San Francisco)
Pengfei Wang (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)
Tao Zha (Federal Reserve Bank-Atlanta)
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Deconstructing Life-cycle Consumption with Home Production
Mike Dotsey (Federal Reserve Bank-Philadelphia)
Wenli Li (Federal Reserve Bank-Phildelphia)
Fang Yang (New York State University-Albany)
Equity Misvaluation and Capital Misallocation?: A Revealed Preference Approach
Robert S. Chirinko (University of Illinois-Chicago)
Huntley Schaller (Carleton University)
Fiscal policy and the labour market: the effects of public sector employment and wages
Pedro Gomes (London School of Economics)
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Jan. 5, 1:00 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, International C
AEA
Session: Fluctuations 2 (E3)
Presiding: Liang Ding (Macalester College)
Has Globalization Transformed U.S. Macroeconomic Dynamics?
Fabio Milani (University of California-Irvine)
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Liquidity, Jobs and the Business Cycle
Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau (Carnegie Mellon University)
Forecasting House Prices Bottom: A Bayesian FA-VAR Approach
Mark Vitner (Wells Fargo Securities, LLC)
Azhar Iqbal (Wells Fargo Securities, LLC)
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Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information
Tao Wu (Federal Reserve Bank-Dallas)
Michele Cavallo (Federal Reserve Board)
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Imperfect Risk Sharing, Output-Inflation Tradeoffs and Business Cycles
Jae Won Lee (Rutgers University)
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News Shocks, Expectation Driven Business Cycles and Financial Market Frictions
Shen Guo (Central University of Finance and Economics)
Paul Gomme (Concordia University)
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Jan. 5, 1:00 pm, Atlanta Marriott Marquis, A702
AEA
Session: The Effects of Student Testing on Classroom Instruction and Student Outcomes (I2)
Presiding: Julian Betts (University of California-San Diego)
Evidence Based Teaching? Using Student Test Data to Improve Classroom Instruction
John Tyler (Brown University)
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The Impact of Diagnostic Feedback to Teachers on Student Learning: Experimental Evidence from India
Karthik Muralidharan (University of California-San Diego)
Venkatesh Sundararaman (World Bank)
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The High-Stakes Effects of “Low-Stakes” Testing: Performance Labels Matter to Vulnerable Students
Richard Murnane (Harvard University)
John Papay (Harvard University)
John Willett (Harvard University)
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The Effect of Diagnostic Testing in Math on Student Outcomes
Julian Betts (University of California-San Diego)
Youjin Hahn (University of California-San Diego)
Andrew Zau (University of California-San Diego)
Discussants:
Dan Goldhaber (University of Washington)
David Figlio (Northwestern University)